|

AVAX price to crash 11% as sell signals multiply

  • AVAX price shows exhaustion as it edges closer to retesting the range high at $14.25.
  • The sell signals across multiple indicators hint at an 11% crash that retests $11.95. 
  • A four-hour candlestick close that flips the range high at $14.25 will invalidate the bearish thesis. 

Avalanche (AVAX) price continues to produce higher highs, but the momentum indicators do not agree with it. The recent ascent seems to be built on the false footing and could trigger a steep correction for Avalanche enthusiasts.

Read more: Avalanche DeFi head warns of mounting risk on Ethereum blockchain, reveals AVAX endgame

AVAX price prepares for trend reversal

AVAX price has gained 40% between June 10 and 25 and set up a range, extending from $9.65 to $14.25. Although Avalance (AVAX) came close to retesting the range high, signs of exhaustion are getting clearer by the hour. 

Between June 21 and 25, AVAX price set up three distinctive higher highs, but during the same time, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Awesome Oscillator (AO) set up lower highs.

This non-conformity is termed “bearish divergence” and indicates that the momentum is not behind this recent ascent. The technical formation is a sell signal and often leads to a correction in the underlying asset. 

For AVAX price, the correction will likely knock the altcoin down by 11% to tag the aforementioned range’s midpoint at $11.95. This move is a perfect opportunity for short-sellers, which stand to gain by this 11% move to the downside.

AVAX/USDT 4-hour chart

AVAX/USDT 4-hour chart

Despite the recent recovery rally, AVAX price has shown multiple sell-signals, which are logical. Due to short-term sellers booking profits, the bearish thesis makes sense. But if Bitcoin price resumes its bullishness at the start of a new week, things could turn ugly for bears.

In such a case, a four-hour candlestick close that flips the range high at $14.25 will invalidate the bearish thesis for AVAX price. This development could see the altcoin attempt to retest the $16.46 hurdle. 

Author

Akash Girimath

Akash Girimath is a Mechanical Engineer interested in the chaos of the financial markets. Trying to make sense of this convoluted yet fascinating space, he switched his engineering job to become a crypto reporter and analyst.

More from Akash Girimath
Share:

Editor's Picks

XRP recovery stalls as Ripple and Robinhood expand partnership scope

Technically, XRP is still in the woods, with the 50-day EMA limiting the token’s recovery potential. Ripple (XRP) faces short-term hurdles, trading around $1.33 on Wednesday.

Bitcoin reclaims $81,000 as traders await Fed policy decision, Big Tech earnings

Bitcoin reclaims $81,000 on Wednesday, extending its recovery as investors await the Fed’s policy decision and upcoming Big Tech earnings. Spot Bitcoin ETFs record an inflow of $175.99 million on Tuesday, marking a second consecutive day of inflows.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP recover ahead of Fed decision

Bitcoin has renewed its advance above $81,000 on Wednesday, lifting sentiment across the cryptocurrency market ahead of the upcoming Fed's interest rate decision. Ethereum follows in Bitcoin’s footsteps. Ripple is similarly edging higher above $1.33.

Pi Network stalls as Core Team expands investment fund to Axis Robotics

Pi Network hovers around $0.0766 on Wednesday, holding steady after a roughly 2% rebound on Monday. Axis Robotics officially confirmed that it has received seed investment from Pi Ventures, which focuses on the technical integration of AI and robotics.

Bitcoin extends pullback as ETF inflows clash with risk-off sentiment

Bitcoin remains under pressure, trading around $81,800 on Friday, recording modest losses so far this week. Despite a mild pullback, institutional demand showed signs of a comeback with spot Exchange Traded Funds recording $442.67 million in net inflows through Thursday.