|

AAVE price poised for a rally as on-chain data shows positive bias

  • Coinglass open interest is rising and is at its highest this year, indicating an influx of new money.
  • Santiment daily active addresses are rising, signaling a bullish move.
  • Investors should be cautious about spikes in the Network Realized Profit/Loss metric.

AAVE (AAVE) has surged 15% since Monday and is maintaining its upward momentum with a 3.5% increase to $133.42 for the third straight day on Wednesday. On-chain data shows that AAVE's open interest data and daily active addresses are rising, signaling the continuation of the bullish trend.

AAVE price gains traction as on-chain data suggests a positive trend

Data from CoinGlass shows that the futures' Open Interest (OI) in AAVE at exchanges is also increasing. The OI indicates the total number of outstanding derivative contracts that have not been settled (offset by delivery) and whether money flows into the contract are increasing or decreasing.

Increasing OI represents new or additional money entering the market and new buying, which suggests a bullish trend. When OI decreases, it is usually a sign that the market is liquidating, more investors are leaving, and the current price trend is ending.

The graph below shows that AAVE's OI increased from $106.24 million on Monday to $177.55 million on Wednesday, the highest OI since the start of this year. This indicates that new or additional money is entering the market and new buying is occurring.

AAVE Open Interest chart

AAVE Open Interest chart

Santiment's Daily Active Addresses index helps to track network activity over time. A rise in the metric signals greater blockchain usage, while declining addresses point to lower demand for the network.

In AAVE's case, Daily Active Addresses have risen by 65% from Monday to Wednesday. This rise is the highest since the end of December 2023 and indicates that demand for AAVE's blockchain usage is increasing, which could propel a rally in AAVE's price.

AAVE Daily Active Addresses chart

AAVE Daily Active Addresses chart

Additionally, Coinglass's long-to-short ratio stands at 51.06%. This ratio suggests a bullish sentiment in the market, as the number above 50% suggests that more trades anticipate that the price of AAVE will rise.

AAVE long-to-short ratio chart

AAVE long-to-short ratio chart

Despite new buying, greater blockchain usage, and increasing bullish sentiment, AAVE's Network Realized Profit/Loss metric shows an upward spike. This indicates that its holders are, on average, selling their holdings at a significant profit. Consequently, investors should not anticipate an immediate price rally for the token.

AAVE Network Realized Profit/Loss chart

AAVE Network Realized Profit/Loss chart

Author

Manish Chhetri

Manish Chhetri is a crypto specialist with over four years of experience in the cryptocurrency industry.

More from Manish Chhetri
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Michael Selig assumes role as new CFTC Chair, what does this mean for crypto?

Michael Selig has been sworn in to serve as the 16th Chairman of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Selig was confirmed by the US Senate to head the commission last week, following his October nomination by the US President Donald Trump.

Crypto.com hires sports trader for event prediction market-making

Crypto.com plans to recruit a quant trader for the sports market-making team to buy and sell financial contracts related to these events. Opponents argue that internal trading desks put operators or their affiliates on the opposite side of customer trades. 

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.