Peter Goodburn
WaveTrack International GmbH
Sentiment Turns Bearish
The late-August five wave impulse advance from 11863.00 came to an end exactly this time last week at 13533.00, concluding the larger 1st wave within minor wave v. five.
A 2nd wave correction has since begun, confirmed by an initial five wave impulse decline unfolding from last week’s high, ending yesterday at 12957.50. Note how the five wave structure is corroborated by Fib-Price-Ratios – i.e.
waves (i)-(iii) x 61.8% = (v) at 12957.50
The low at 12957.50 completes wave [a] of a developing zig zag pattern, perhaps even a larger double zig zag as this 2nd wave correction. For the moment, wave [b] rallies are still engaged to the upside – forecasts measure completion towards either 13204.00+/- or 13247.00+/- where the run higher to 13136.00 labelled wave (a) is extended by either a fib. 328.2% or fib. 61.8% ratio.
Fig #1 - Xetra Dax - 15 mins. by WaveTrack International
Once completed, wave [c] declines can begin targeting 12614.00+/-.
This overall downturn has obviously changed the short-term sentiment from bullish to bearish and with the Xetra Dax as our near-term guide, can expect a similar downturn to begin for U.S. indices too.
Subscribe and get the latest forecasts on Stocks, FX & Commodities – NOW!
WaveTrack International and its related publications apply R.N.Elliott's "The Wave Principle" to historical market price activity which categorises and interprets the progress of future price patterns according to this methodology. Whilst it may be reasonable to deduce a course of action regarding investments as a result of such application, at no time or on any occasion will specific securities, futures, options or commodities of any kind be recommended for purchase or sale. Publications containing forecasts are therefore intended for information purposes only. Any opinion contained in these reports is only a statement of our views and are based on information we believe to be reliable but no guarantee is given as to its accuracy or completeness. Markets are volatile and therefore subject to rapid an unexpected price changes. Any person relying on information contained in these reports does so at their own risk entirely and no liability is accepted by WaveTrack in respect thereof. © All rights are copyrights to WaveTrack. Reproduction and / or dissemination without WaveTrack's prior consent is strictly forbidden. We encourage reviews, quotation and reference but request that full credit is given.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD clings to daily gains above 1.0650
EUR/USD gained traction and turned positive on the day above 1.0650. The improvement seen in risk mood following the earlier flight to safety weighs on the US Dollar ahead of the weekend and helps the pair push higher.
GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data
GBP/USD reversed its direction and advanced to the 1.2450 area after touching a fresh multi-month low below 1.2400 in the Asian session. The positive shift seen in risk mood on easing fears over a deepening Iran-Israel conflict supports the pair.
Gold holds steady at around $2,380 following earlier spike
Gold stabilized near $2,380 after spiking above $2,400 with the immediate reaction to reports of Israel striking Iran. Meanwhile, the pullback seen in the US Treasury bond yields helps XAU/USD hold its ground.
Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC post-halving rally could be partially priced in Premium
Bitcoin price shows no signs of directional bias while it holds above $60,000. The fourth BTC halving is partially priced in, according to Deutsche Bank’s research.
Week ahead – US GDP and BoJ decision on top of next week’s agenda
US GDP, core PCE and PMIs the next tests for the Dollar. Investors await BoJ for guidance about next rate hike. EU and UK PMIs, as well as Australian CPIs also on tap.