|

XAU/USD outlook: Gold rises above $2000 as escalating crisis boosts safe-haven demand

XAU/USD

Spot gold hit $2000 per ounce this morning, for the first time since August 2020, as uncertainty about global economy in light of the consequences of the Russia-Ukraine war and Western sanctions on Russia, as talks about including Russian energy products into the package of restrictions, strongly increased global uncertainty and boosted safe-haven demand.

The yellow metal advanced 2.6% last week, as crisis deepened, but advanced 1.2% only in early Monday’s trading after starting the week with gap higher, signaling that the latest acceleration could extend much higher. Close above $2000 is needed to confirm strong bullish bias and expose targets at $2015/$2049 (Aug/Sep 2020 peaks) which guard a record high at $2074, posted in Oct 2020.

Further escalation of the crisis could inflate gold price above these levels and unmask next targets at $2100 (round-figure) and $2168 (Fibo 123.6% projection of the rally from $1676 (Mar 2021 low).

Solid supports lay at $1980/74 (broken Fibo 76.4% of $2074/$1676 / Feb 24 spike high), followed by daily Tenkan-sen ($1940) and trendline support at $1925.

Res: 2015; 2049; 2074; 2100.
Sup: 1980; 1974; 1950; 1940.

XAUUSD

Interested in XAU/USD technicals? Check out the key levels

    1. R3 2022.58
    2. R2 1996.43
    3. R1 1982.01
  1. PP 1955.86
    1. S1 1941.44
    2. S2 1915.29
    3. S3 1900.87

Author

Slobodan Drvenica

Slobodan Drvenica

Windsor Brokers

Industry veteran with over 22 years’ experience, Slobodan Drvenica joined Windsor Brokers in 1995 when he was an active trader for more than 10 years, managing the trading desk and own account departments.

More from Slobodan Drvenica
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flatlines below 1.1800 ahead of Fed Minutes

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and continues to move sideways below 1.1800 for the second consecutive day on Tuesday as markets remain in holiday mood. Later in the American session, the Federal Reserve will publish the minutes of the December policy meeting.

GBP/USD retreats to 1.3500 area following earlier climb

GBP/USD loses its traction and trades flat on the day near 1.3500 after rising to the 1.3530 area early Tuesday. Trading conditions remain thin ahead of the New Year holiday, limiting the pair's volatility. The Fed will publish December meeting minutes in the late American session.

Gold rebounds toward $4,400 following sharp correction

Gold gathers recovery momentum and advances toward $4,400 on Tuesday after losing more than 4% on Monday. Increased margin requirements on gold and silver futures by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group, one of the world’s largest trading floors for commodities, prompted widespread profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing.

Tron steadies as Justin Sun invests $18 million in Tron Inc.

Tron (TRX) trades above $0.2800 at press time on Monday, hovering below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.2859.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).