|

WTI Oil futures need to breach $83 to brighten outlook [Video]

WTI oil futures have been tiptoeing sideways along the upper boundary of the seven-month-old bearish channel and within a tight range of $79.00-$81.00 so far this week.

The trend signals are still discouraging as the price has been struggling to post new higher highs above the $81.00-$83.00 ceiling since the start of the year, while the exponential moving averages (EMAs) have yet to print bullish crosses yet, endorsing the broad negative trajectory in the market.

On the other hand, the momentum indicators are in favor of the bulls. The slowdown in the stochastic oscillator is mirroring some weakness in buying appetite as the price is trading near the upper Bollinger band. Yet, the indicator has not slipped below its 80 overbought level yet, while the RSI and the MACD remain elevated within the bullish region, keeping the short-term bias on the positive side.

Should the bulls claim the $81.00-$83.00 zone, which encapsulates the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the 2020-2022 uptrend, the price could crawl up to the $86.00 barrier. An extension higher could find resistance near the $88.60 handle, while a steeper increase could head for the October-November bar of $92.60.

In the event sellers push below $80.00, support could initially develop around the former resistance zone of $77.70. Beyond that, the 20- and 50-day EMAs may attract some attention within the $75.00 territory before the focus turns again to the range’s bottom seen around 73.00.

All in all, WTI oil futures are still attractive to buyers in the short-term picture, though traders may stay patient until the price successfully breaches the $81.00-$83.00 wall or slides below $80.00 before they target higher levels. 

Oil

Author

Christina Parthenidou

Christina joined the XM investment research department in May 2017. She holds a master degree in Economics and Business from the Erasmus University Rotterdam with a specialization in International economics.

More from Christina Parthenidou
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).