|

What will the high-stakes Trump-Harris presidential debate mean for Gold prices? [Video]

It's a fact, the high-stakes U.S Presidential Election is capturing the world's attention as one of the biggest and most lucrative macro trading opportunities of this year, if not this decade. 

On Tuesday, Donald Trump and Kamala Harris will finally square up in their ‘first and only’ televised debate of the 2024 election campaign in what promises to be a defining moment in the race for the White House. 

The debate in June between President Joe Biden and Donald Trump was arguably the most consequential televised debate in modern history. Biden’s shaky performance set off a Democratic panic that led him to drop out of the race – making Biden the first sitting commander in chief not to seek re-election since Lyndon Johnson in 1968. 

The live debate was seen by almost 52 million people across the world, closely comparable to the NFL Super Bowl or UEFA Champions League final – which so far, remains the most-watched moment of the 2024 U.S Presidential race. 

However, records are made to be broken and that's certainly the expectation.

Major broadcasters expect an estimated 100 million viewers will tune into what is anticipated to be one of the greatest market-moving showdowns in Congressional history that traders will not want to miss out on! 

In the lead-up to this weeks ‘Pivotal’ Trump-Harris debate signs of angst have already been mounting. The VIX index, which measures stock market volatility, soared to its highest since the March 2023 banking crisis – sending Gold prices skyrocketing within striking distance of the all-time record high set only two weeks ago. 

And this could just the beginning! 

Ahead of Tuesday’s high-stakes presidential debate, recent polls showed Donald Trump leading Kamala Harris in two crucial swing states. 

It goes without saying that the importance of this development cannot be understated. 

In fact, traders are already starting to price in a Donald Trump victory in November – which could spur a “new super bull” in Gold off the back of a multitude of factors including – tariffs of 60% or higher on foreign goods, a surge in infrastructure spending and tighter sanctions on Iranian oil – all of which could reignite global inflation. 

During Donald Trump’s previous presidency – Gold price rose substantially, soaring from $1,200 an ounce when he took office in January 2017 to over $1,900 an ounce in his final month of January 2021. 

According to GSC Commodity Intelligence – “the possibility of a Donald Trump victory in Tuesday’s high-stakes Presidential debate and potential return to the White House in November will inevitably mark the return of the famous Trump Trade”. 

And that's unquestionably ultra-bullish for Gold. 

Where are prices heading next? Watch The Commodity Report now, for my latest price forecasts and predictions:

Author

Phil Carr

Phil Carr

The Gold & Silver Club

Phil is the co-founder and Head of Trading at The Gold & Silver Club, an international Commodities Trading Firm specializing in Metals, Energies and Soft Commodities.

More from Phil Carr
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles to extend advance above 1.1800

The EUR/USD pair posts a fresh weekly low near 1.1740 during the Asian trading session on Wednesday. The major currency pair is under pressure as the US Dollar edges higher despite Federal Open Market Committee minutes of the December policy meeting, released on Tuesday, showing that most policymakers stressed the need for further interest rate cuts.

GBP/USD trades flat above 1.3450 amid thin trading volume

The GBP/USD pair holds steady around 1.3465 during the early Asian trading hours on Wednesday. However, the Bank of England guided that monetary policy will remain on a gradual downward path, which might underpin the Cable against the US Dollar. Financial markets are expected to trade on thin volumes as traders prepare for the New Year holiday.

Gold attempts another run toward $4,400 on final day of 2025

Gold price makes another attempt toward $4,400 in Asian trading on Tuesday, keeping the recovery mode intact following Monday's over 4% correction. The bright metal seems to cheer upbeat Chinese NBS and RatingDog Manufacturing and Services PMI data for December. 

Top Crypto Gainers: Canton, Four, Plasma rally secures double-digit gains

Canton, Four, and Plasma are the top-performing crypto assets over the last 24 hours with double-digit gains. The extended recovery in Canton is gaining traction while Four and Plasma target a decisive close above the 200-period Exponential Moving Average on the 4-hour chart.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).