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Weekly column: Geocosmic calls hit targets Silver, Gold and Bitcoin highs

Review

The technical and fundamental picture remains strong for Silver, which could even record a new ATH at 53.06 +/- 5.27 within 3 months of the Saturn-Neptune conjunction on February 20, 2026, before a sharp sell-off.

—Pouyan Zolfagharnia, “Silver Market in 2025,” The Forecast 2025 Book, written in November 2024, www.mmacycles.com.

 Okay! So Pouyan may have been one month off as Silver soared to a new all-time high of $53.76 on the evening of October 16, which was within the allowable 3-day orb of our October 14 CRD (geocosmic critical reversal date). But when you consider that Saturn and Neptune came within 13’ of an exact conjunction in July 2025, and the actual high of October 16 was right near the middle of those two conjunctions (mid-July through mid-February), you have to appreciate what Pouyan was looking at. And then the price target being so close to the middle of the price range he provided at a time when Silver was trading around $30.00 was equally remarkable. That’s why he is a valued MMA market analyst!

It’s too early to tell if that new all-time high in Silver will hold or not. Still, we do note that 1) it is late in Silver’s 26.5-month cycle, as covered in the monthly MMA Cycles Report issued last week, and 2) this high is happening in the time band associated with a crest with Mars in the latter half of the sign of Scorpio. As of Friday, October 17, Mars was posited at 17° Scorpio. According to the most recent studies on Gold by Wyatt Fellows, another remarkably accurate MMA analyst and researcher, presented in our September 14 webinar on metals and Bitcoin, Gold most often peaks when Mars is between 15-29° Scorpio. Our call in that webinar was to watch closely for a high in both metals within three trading days of October 14. Not bad! On Friday, Silver topped out at $53.76 and then fell to $49.66, which is a huge drop in one day. Gold peaked at $4392 on the evening of October 16, then dropped nearly $200, below $4200, which may be its biggest one-day decline ever.

The metals were the big story last week, but other financial markets were also active as heliocentric Mercury ended its two-week trek through the wild sign of Sagittarius. Bitcoin, for instance, continued to fall after posting its all-time high of $126,223 on October 6, also within the time band of our call for its all-time high given in that same September 14 webinar. By Friday, October 17, BTC was down to 103,659, its lowest price since June 23.

Another big story was Crude Oil, which plunged to $56.15 on Friday, October 17, its lowest mark since the COVID-19 panic lows of April 2020. This fits as Saturn (loss) retrogrades back through Pisces (sign related to Crude Oil). It also fits with the White House agenda to bring Putin to the negotiating table by creating economic pain for Russia via extremely low oil prices. Crude Oil remains Russia’s primary export-revenue-lifeline, fueling its ongoing campaign to seize as much of Ukraine’s territory as possible. It’s also happening at a time when the Russian government is due to implode according to its correlation to the 36-year Saturn-Neptune cycle +/- 1 year.

In global equity markets, it was a tense week, probably related to the dysfunction of the U.S. government that has led to yet another unnecessary and unwelcome shutdown. The U.S. stock market tried to recover from last Friday’s “tariff tantrum” that marked a huge intraday price range. But remarkably this entire week of trading remained within that one-day price range of October 10.

In Asia and the Pacific Rim, Australia’s ASX and India’s NIFTY stood out as each made a new all-time high late last week. China’s SSE index tested its multi-year high on Thursday, before pulling back. But Hong Kong’s Hang Seng was not so fortunate as it fell to a new 6-week low. Japan’s Nikkei was subdued following its all-time high of the prior week, but it didn’t pull back much in any event.

Europe’s stock indices were more depressed following their all-time highs of October 6-9. The Zurich SMI was the only star performer, rallying to its highest level since March. This is interesting because the SMI was the only index not to make a new all-time high from October 6-9. Maybe it’s catching up now.

Short-term geocosmics

In its trade standoff with Washington, Beijing thinks it has found America’s Achilles’ heel: President Trump’s fixation on the stock market. China is holding a firm line because of its conviction that an escalating trade war will tank markets, as it did in April after Trump announced his Liberation Day tariffs, prompting Beijing to hit back. China expects that the prospect of another market meltdown ultimately will force Trump to negotiate at an expected summit with Xi late this month, the people said.

—Lingling Wei and Gavin Bade, “To China, Stock Market Is Trump’s Weak Spot,” Wall Street Journal, October 15, 2025.

Mr. Trump backed Israel’s Benjamin Netanyahu to the hilt. He made Hamas understand that failing to negotiate would weaken its position. He understood that success on the battlefield is a prerequisite to lasting peace. In other words, the President exerted maximum pressure on adversaries—and it worked. The mystery is why he has for so long refused to show the same strength toward Mr. Putin. The President’s strategy of unilateral concessions—listening sympathetically to the Russian dictator’s catalogue of imperialist grievances—hasn’t worked.

—Editorial Board, “Trump’s Gaza Lessons for Ukraine: Putin Won’t Negotiate Until He Pays a Higher Price for Waging War,” Wall Street Journal, October 15, 2025.

Last week was a worldwide celebration over the commencement of the Gaza Peace Plan, spearheaded by none other than U.S. President Donald Trump. Interesting that his chaotic and unpredictable negotiating style worked so well with Hamas to bring a vision of peace to the war-torn Middle East, but that same strategy isn’t applied to Russia in its violation of international laws in its quest to grab land in Ukraine. Yes, I know the “other side” of the argument, but it doesn’t justify the killing of civilians and kidnapping of children who aren’t part of the warrior class.

Nevertheless, the investment community will wonder when the “peace dividend” will kick in, which might require two further developments: 1) the end to the trade war and tariff tantrums that disrupt world trade, and 2) an end to the Russian-Ukrainian war that is close to drawing in NATO and even the U.S. In this regard, we return to our outlook regarding the Aries Vortex of 2025-2026.

In this writer’s view, the Aries Vortex of 2025-26 will be the bottom of the abyss pertaining to polarization, division, coercion, and propaganda, where truth has been compromised in order to provide a political narrative to harm one’s enemies. However, as will be seen in the Forecast 2026 Book, Saturn will begin to separate from Neptune at the 0° Aries point in March, where it also draws power from its double sextile to Uranus and Pluto. Neptune, the planet ruling peace, however, will remain at the midpoint and in double sextile to Uranus and Pluto after that and into 2028. That means Neptune, not Saturn, will garner the benefits from Uranus and Pluto.

Neptune in Aries is an entirely different theme than Saturn in Aries. In astrology, the planets symbolize the power to act, and the sign it is in represents attitude, which can modify or influence actions. So, Neptune, the messenger of peace, comes into the home of Aries the warrior and says, “I want you to stop your aggression and channel it toward making peace.” Uranus, the planet of inspiration, and Pluto, the planet of transformation and rebuilding, lend their powers now to Neptune more than Saturn.

If we look into the past when Saturn conjoined Neptune, we will see conflicts abound, but they were settled and followed by at least ten years of world peace. No one thought this possible heading into 2025, especially under the leadership of Donald Trump, whose behavior has mostly been seen as polarizing more than unifying to everyone outside of MAGA. But the universe works in mysterious ways, and it is perhaps surprising but now understandable why he was elected president to lead us through this Aries Vortex. Love him or hate him, he was the key to initiating the process of peace in the Middle East. But the question remains: where is the peace dividend? It’s coming, according to my understanding of the Aries Vortex.

Short-term, next week will be a New Moon in the last degree of Libra (29°), which means the degree of indecision is trying to do something with the sign of indecision,  but it’s not sure what to do. So it is best to let the Sun get a couple of days into Scorpio, a sign that makes decisions, even though at times ill-advised decisions that involve too much leverage and not enough liquidity. This may indicate a slew of margin calls forcing people to pay up or sell positions to raise cash. If so, this could lead to a further selloff in those markets affected, such as precious metals.

Next week’s aspects are rather benign, otherwise, suggesting support to stock markets with Mercury trine both Jupiter and Saturn at the end of the week, followed by Mars doing the same the week after. The stock market usually likes favorable Jupiter transits. Gold and Silver, not so much, although Mars is still in Scorpio through November 4, which Gold also likes. Still, Gold is due for an important crest any time with Mars between 15-29° Scorpio, and we are there.

Author

Raymond Merriman, CTA

Raymond Merriman, CTA

The Merriman Market Analyst

Raymond A. Merriman is the President of the Merriman Market Analyst, Inc and founder of the Merriman Market Timing Academy.

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