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USD/MXN: Just a pause before the next drop?

USD/MXN has been in a downtrend since the start of the year, when we also called for an important top as Trump took office. So far, we can see a clear five-wave structure with lower highs and lower swing lows, confirming a strong bearish trend that may not be over yet. Since impulses develop in five waves, it looks like we are currently in a fourth-wave counter-trend rally, as shown on the updated wave structure. This move could still extend slightly higher, possibly toward the previous fourth-wave region near 18.96 followed by second resistance around 19.33, which aligns with the 38.2% retracement.

If this view is correct, the key level on the downside for this entire impulsive cycle would be around 17.62.



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Author

Gregor Horvat

Gregor Horvat

Wavetraders

Experience Grega is based in Slovenia and has been in the Forex market since 2003.

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