USD/JPY: Wide-open for further downside moves

Yann Quelenn Swissquote Bank Ltd

EUR/USD

Bearish consolidation after strong surge.

EUR/USD is consolidating at the moment. Hourly resistance is located at 1.1878 (12/10/2017 high). T Hourly support is given at a distance at 1.1554 (07/11/2017 low). Expected to show continued short-term consolidation before heading higher towards resistance at 1.1878 ( 12/10/2017 high).
In the longer term, the momentum is now turning largely positive. We favour a continued bullish bias. Key resistance is holding at 1.2252 (25/12/2014 high) while strong support lies at 1.0341 (03/01/2017 low).

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GBP/USD

Volatility declines.

GBP/USD is still holding below 1.32. Support is given at 1.3027 (06/10/2017 low). Resistance area is given around 1.3200. The technical structure suggests further sideways price action.
The long-term technical pattern is reversing. The Brexit vote had paved the way for further decline. Long-term support can be found at 1.1841 (07/10/2017 low). Long-term resistance given around 1.35 is at stake and indicates a long-term reversal in the negative trend. Yet, it is very unlikely at the moment.

USD/JPY

Wide-open for further downside moves.

USD/JPY has broken short-term uptrend channel. Hourly support given at 113.09 (09/10/2017 low) has been broken. Stronger support is located at a distance at 111.12 (20/09/2017 low). Expected to show further decline.
We favor a long-term bearish bias. Support is now given at 99.02 (10/08/2013 low). A gradual rise towards the major resistance at 125.86 (05/06/2015 high) seems unlikely. Expected to decline further support at 93.79 (13/06/2013 low).

Author

Yann Quelenn

Swissquote Bank Ltd

Yann Quelenn is a Market Analyst at Swissquote Bank with strong technical and financial background. Previously, he worked as FX Trader at Banque Privée Edmond de Rothschild and as Portfolio Manager at Polaris Investment in Luxembourg.

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