USD/JPY outlook: Mal fall further after completion of corrective phase

Slobodan Drvenica Windsor Brokers

USD/JPY

USD/JPY dips to three week low on Monday and hit Fibo 76.4% retracement of 141.68/149.40 corrective upleg, adding to signals that correction of larger downtrend is close to its end.

Strong drop last week (2.1%) completed a bearish engulfing pattern and registered weekly close below 100WMA (144.59), generating fresh bearish signal and setting scope for retest of 141.68 (August 4 low, the lowest since late December).

Bearish technical and fundamental studies contribute to growing signals that USDJPY may extend losses after completing correction.

Break of triggers at 141.68 and 140.48/25 (Fibo 61.8% of 127.22/161.95 / Dec 28 low) likely to spark fresh acceleration lower and dips below psychological 140 support.

Res: 144.58; 145.04; 146.27; 146.87.
Sup: 143.44; 142.58; 141.68; 140.48.

Interested in USD/JPY technicals? Check out the key levels

1. R3 148.31
2. R2 147.4
3. R1 145.87
PP 144.96
1. S1 143.44
2. S2 142.53
3. S3 141.01

Author

Slobodan Drvenica

Windsor Brokers

Industry veteran with over 22 years’ experience, Slobodan Drvenica joined Windsor Brokers in 1995 when he was an active trader for more than 10 years, managing the trading desk and own account departments.

EUR/USD loses traction, breaks below 1.1900

EUR/USD comes under extra downside pressure, breaching below the 1.1900 support once again on Tuesday. The improved tone in the US Dollar keeps the pair on the back foot after two consecutive daily advances. In the meantime, prudence is expected to kick in ahead of the release of the key US Nonfarm Payrolls on Wednesday.

GBP/USD slips back to daily lows near 1.3640

GBP/USD drops to daily lows near 1.3640 as sellers push harder and the Greenback extends its rebound in the latter part of Tuesday’s session. Looking ahead, the combination of key US releases, including NFP and CPI, alongside important UK data, should keep the pound firmly in focus over the coming days.

Gold the battle of wills continues with bulls not ready to give up

Gold remains on the defensive and approaches the key $5,000 region per troy ounce on Tuesday, giving back part of its recent two day. The precious metal’s pullback unfolds against a firmer tone in the US Dollar, declining US Treasury yields and steady caution ahead of upcoming key US data releases.

Bitcoin's downtrend caused by ETF redemptions and AI rotation: Wintermute

Bitcoin's (BTC) fall from grace since the October 10 leverage flush has been spearheaded by sustained ETF outflows and a rotation into the AI narrative, according to Wintermute.

Dollar drops and stocks rally: The week of reckoning for US economic data

Following a sizeable move lower in US technology Stocks last week, we have witnessed a meaningful recovery unfold. The USD Index is in a concerning position; the monthly price continues to hold the south channel support.

XRP holds $1.40 amid ETF inflows and stable derivatives market

Ripple trades under pressure, with immediate support at $1.40 holding at the time of writing on Tuesday. A recovery attempt from last week’s sell-off to $1.12 stalled at $1.54 on Friday, leading to limited price action between the current support and the resistance.