|

USD/JPY Forecast: Range persists amid prevalent risk-off mood

USD/JPY Current Price: 107.76

  • US Treasury yields declined to their lowest since last May.
  • Japan’s April Jibun Bank Manufacturing PMI to be out this Wednesday, previously at 44.8.
  • USD/JPY continues to trade within limited intraday ranges around the 107.70 level.

The USD/JPY pair edged lower during Asian trading hours, although later recovered from a daily low of 107.27, to settle within familiar levels around the 107.70 level. Risk aversion kept demand for both currencies evenly balanced for most of the day, although the greenback has had a slight advantage against its Asian counterpart since the beginning of the pandemic crisis.

Global equities edged lower and closed in the red, while US Treasury yields fell to their lowest since last March. The yield on the benchmark 10-year note touched an intraday low of 0.54% to finish the day at 0.57%. Japan didn’t release relevant data this Tuesday, although during the upcoming session the country will unveil the preliminary estimate of the April Jibun Bank Manufacturing PMI, previously at 44.8. The country will also publish the final version of the February Leading Economic Index, foreseen unchanged at 92.1.

USD/JPY short-term technical outlook

The USD/JPY pair maintains its neutral short-term technical stance. The 4-hour chart shows that it’s trading around congesting moving averages, which remain confined to a tight range and directionless. Technical indicators hover around their midlines without clear directional strength. The downside seems limited amid resurgent demand for the greenback in the case risk sentiment deteriorates.

 Support levels: 107.30 106.95 106.50  

Resistance levels: 108.10 108.50 108.80

View Live Chart for the USD/JPY

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading 

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.