|

USD/JPY Forecast: Mildly bullish amid dollar’s strength

USD/JPY Current Price: 108.53

  • The Japanese yen lost ground despite the dominant-negative market’s mood.
  • Equities fell on Friday, US government bond yields closed the week in the red.
  • USD/JPY offers a neutral-to-bullish stance, could accelerate its advance once above 109.20.

The USD/JPY pair advanced for a second consecutive day on Friday, to close the week with modest gains at around 108.35. The pair advanced on persistent dollar’s demand and despite the sour sentiment that dominated financial markets. By the end of the week, equities came under selling pressure, while US Treasury yields lost ground, limiting the bullish potential of USD/JPY.

By the end of the week, Japan released the March Jibun Bank Services PMI, which resulted at 33.8, better than the 32.7 but much worse than the 46.8 from February. The country won’t release macroeconomic data this Monday.

USD/JPY short-term technical outlook

The daily chart for the USD/JPY pair shows that it settled within directionless moving averages, although above the 38.2% retracement of its latest bullish run. Technical indicators in the mentioned chart have bounced from their midlines, skewing the risk to the upside without confirming it. The pair would need to firm up beyond 109.20, the next Fibonacci resistance level, to be able to extend its advance. In the 4-hour chart, the pair offers a neutral-to-bullish stance, as its holding at the upper end of converging moving averages, while technical indicators are directionless, but above their midlines.

Support levels: 108.00 107.70 107.20

Resistance levels: 108.80 109.20 109.60

View Live Chart for the USD/JPY

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds firm near 1.1850 amid USD weakness

EUR/USD remains strongly bid around 1.1850 in European trading on Monday. The USD/JPY slide-led broad US Dollar weakness helps the pair build on Friday's recovery ahead of the Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence data for February. 

GBP/USD holds medium-term bullish bias above 1.3600

The GBP/USD pair trades on a softer note around 1.3605 during the early European session on Monday. Growing expectation of the Bank of England’s interest-rate cut weighs on the Pound Sterling against the Greenback. 

Gold remains supported by China's buying and USD weakness as traders eye US data

Gold struggles to capitalize on its intraday move up and remains below the $5,100 mark heading into the European session amid mixed cues. Data released over the weekend showed that the People's Bank of China extended its buying spree for a 15th month in January. Moreover, dovish US Fed expectations and concerns about the central bank's independence drag the US Dollar lower for the second straight day, providing an additional boost to the non-yielding yellow metal.

Cardano steadies as whale selling caps recovery

Cardano (ADA) steadies at $0.27 at the time of writing on Monday after slipping more than 5% in the previous week. On-chain data indicate a bearish trend, with certain whales offloading ADA. However, the technical outlook suggests bearish momentum is weakening, raising the possibility of a short-term relief rebound if buying interest picks up.

Japanese PM Takaichi nabs unprecedented victory – US data eyed this week

I do not think I would be exaggerating to say that Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s snap general election gamble paid off over the weekend – and then some. This secured the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) an unprecedented mandate just three months into her tenure.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate after massive sell-off

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple prices consolidated on Monday after correcting by nearly 9%, 8%, and 10% in the previous week, respectively. BTC is hovering around $70,000, while ETH and XRP are facing rejection at key levels. Traders should be cautious: despite recent stabilization, upside recovery for these top three cryptocurrencies is capped as the broader trend remains bearish.