The USDJPY daily chart analysis shows a bearish trend. Price is moving impulsively, pointing to strong downward momentum. The current wave in play is Orange Wave 3, part of the broader Navy Blue Wave 1 structure. This setup signals a powerful phase in the downtrend as third waves often show the most intense price drops.

Orange Wave 2 appears to have ended, shifting focus to Orange Wave 3. This is typically the strongest section in a bearish Elliott Wave pattern, where price can fall significantly with little retracement. The next internal development continues within Orange Wave 3.

A key level to watch is 148.105. If the price moves above this, the wave count becomes invalid and will need review. As long as price stays below, the pattern suggests continued downside.

Current technical indicators show USDJPY is likely to see sharper declines as Orange Wave 3 progresses. The impulsive wave formation reflects strong institutional selling and sets the stage for continued bearish movement within Navy Blue Wave 1.

USD/JPY Elliott Wave technical analysis – Four-hour chart

Function: Bearish Trend.

Mode: Impulsive.

Structure: Orange Wave 3.

Position: Navy Blue Wave 1.

Direction next lower degrees: Orange Wave 3 (started).

Details: Orange Wave 2 seems completed; Orange Wave 3 has started.

Wave cancel invalid level: 148.105.

The 4-hour Elliott Wave analysis for USDJPY continues to point to a bearish market. The price is in an impulsive phase within Orange Wave 3, which is part of a larger Navy Blue Wave 1 structure. This implies strong downward movement is in progress.

Orange Wave 2 has likely ended, and the transition into Orange Wave 3 has started. As a core part of the Elliott Wave model, Wave 3 often brings steep price declines. Traders should monitor this development for signs of trend continuation.

The invalidation level remains at 148.105. Any move above this point will invalidate the bearish scenario and require reassessment. Until then, the bearish outlook remains active.

The setup suggests strong selling pressure continues. As Orange Wave 3 unfolds, traders may see more downside momentum over upcoming sessions.

USD/JPY Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Author

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

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