|

USD/JPY analysis: risk skewed to the upside

USD/JPY Current price: 112.75

  • US Treasury yields holding steady at around Friday's closing levels.
  • Wall Street under pressure, limiting USD/JPY gains.

The USD/JPY pair surged to 112.88, its highest in almost two weeks amid resurgent Asian shares and a modest uptick in Treasury yields at the beginning of the day, easing from such high in US trading hours, as Wall Street was unable to retain its early gains falling to a fresh 4-day low. US Treasury yields trimmed their pre-opening gains, finishing the day unchanged when compared to Friday's close, somehow limiting USD/JPY decline. Earlier in the day, Japan released the All Industry Activity Index for August, up 0.5% MoM from 0.0% in July, but has nothing to offer this Tuesday.

The pair is developing at the upper end of an ascendant channel coming from 111.62, the low set last week, but technical readings indicate a limited upward momentum, given that, in the 4 hours chart, the pair is between the 100 and 200 SMA, both directionless, while indicators turned lower within positive ground. The roof of the short-term figure and the mentioned 100 SMA currently converge in the 113.00 price zone, the immediate resistance and the area to surpass to anticipate another day of gains ahead.

Support levels: 112.60 112.20 111.90  

Resistance levels: 113.00 113.45 113.80

View Live Chart for the USD/JPY

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD bounces off lows, back above 1.3200

After bottoming out near 1.3160, GBP/USD manages to regain a bit of shine and reclaim the 1.3200 mark and beyond at the end of the week. Stronger-than-expected UK Retail Sales data seem to be helping the British Pound limit its losses, while the chaotic UK political environment keeps the bulls at bay for now.

EUR/USD looks consolidative around 1.1460

EUR/USD stages a modest rebound after slipping to a three-month low below 1.1420 at the end of the week. That said, the pair now looks to consolidate humble gains just above 1.1460 despite growing uncertainty surrounding the next round of US-Iran negotiations, which keeps the US Dollar’s downside contained.

Gold slips back to six-day lows, targets $4,100

Gold retreats for the third consecutive day on Friday, eroding gains seen in the first half of the week and approaching the key $4,100 mark per troy ounce. Indeed, the precious metal continues to face headwinds from the Fed's hawkish stance and renewed uncertainty surrounding the next round of US-Iran negotiations.

Breaking: Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz amid ceasefire deal violation
Iran says it is closing the Strait of Hormuz after accusing the United States (US) and Israel of violating the ceasefire. According to Iran, the decision came over the continued Israeli strikes in Lebanon. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy issued a warning to all vessels: "Do not approach the Strait of Hormuz; otherwise, your security will be jeopardized."
The Iran war didn't break the US economy, but what happens next?

Nearly four months after the start of the Iran war, the US economy remains remarkably resilient. While the conflict initially triggered a severe disruption to global energy markets and a sharp rise in Oil prices, recent diplomatic progress between Washington and Tehran has eased concerns about a prolonged supply shock.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.