|

USD/JPY analysis: recovery fell short of breaking relevant levels

USD/JPY Current price: 111.23

  • USD broad's strength and easing risk aversion helped the pair bounce.
  • Short-term bullish as long as the positive sentiment persists.

The Japanese currency eased as fears eased, with the USD/JPY pair surging above the 111.00 figure in the US afternoon, backed by Wall Street's recovery and firmer US Treasury yields. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note was higher, at  2.89%, hovering around this last for most of the US session. Data coming from Japan was mixed, as Industrial Production fell by less than expected in June, dropping 1.8% MoM vs. a forecasted decline of 2.1%, while yearly basis, the figure resulted at -0.9% vs. market's expectations of -5.0%. Capacity Utilization, however, posted a 2.2% drop, against a flat reading forecasted. The Japanese macroeconomic calendar will remain empty this Wednesday. The pair's appreciation fell short of breaking a relevant level, as risk-aversion may have eased, but political turmoil worldwide prevails. In the 4 hours chart, the pair is currently struggling around a directionless 100 SMA with the 200 SMA also heading nowhere a few pips above the current level, although technical indicators maintain their upward slopes at fresh weekly highs and well into positive territory, somehow anticipating another leg higher for this Wednesday.  

Support levels: 110.50 110.20 109.80

Resistance levels: 111.30 111.60 111.90

View Live Chart for the USD/JPY

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sits near a one-month top, above 0.7000 amid fresh USD selling

AUD/USD holds above 0.7000 through the Asian session, trading near a one-month high touched earlier this Monday amid renewed US Dollar selling. US bond yields decline further amid a modest pullback in crude oil prices, capping the USD recovery from a three-week low. Moreover, bets for a November RBA rate hike support the Aussie, though upside seems capped ahead of the crucial two-day FOMC meeting, starting Tuesday.

USD/JPY struggles below 157.00 on weak USD; holds above one-month low ahead of Fed, BoJ meetings

USD/JPY attracts fresh sellers during the Asian session on Monday, stalling its recovery from the lowest level since September 18, touched Friday as a further decline in US bond yields weighs on the US Dollar. Meanwhile, the Japanese Yen benefits from a more hawkish BoJ, further weighing on the currency pair. The downside, however, seems limited as traders keenly await Fed and BoJ policy meetings later this week.

Gold sticks to modest recovery gains above $4,000 as Fed hike bets cap upside

Gold stages a modest recovery from the vicinity of a three-month low, trading above the $4,000 psychological mark through Monday’s Asian session amid a softer US Dollar. US President Donald Trump has ruled out immediate military action against Iran, triggering a modest pullback in crude oil prices. Furthermore, Federal Reserve officials have signaled no urgency to raise interest rates immediately.

Cardano's derivatives and on-chain data confirm bears in control

Cardano extends losses, trading below $0.202 after three consecutive weeks of more than 20% declines since early October. Selling pressure continues to build as weakening derivatives metrics, bearish on-chain signals and a deteriorating technical outlook point to further downside risks. Derivatives data shows a bearish bias for Cardano.

CFTC Report: WTI rally runs ahead of positioning
The week in one sentence: WTI prices surged while speculative longs were cut in the week to October 20, creating the clearest price/positioning divergence. Sterling and the Canadian Dollar led the constructive currency shift, while Yen longs also rebuilt. Speculators turned less constructive on the WTI, reducing their net exposure to around 89.3K contracts.
What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.