|

USD/JPY analysis: modest advance, still in the way to break above 110.00

USD/JPY Current price: 109.57

  • Soft US data and plummeting Wall Street not enough to discourage bulls.
  • Japanese solid data overshadowed by BOJ's on-hold stance.

The USD/JPY pair extended its latest advance by a few pips, as poor US data and plummeting Wall Street was just enough to cap the rally of the greenback against yen. The pair traded as high as 109.78, with investors cautious when trading safe-haven assets ahead of Fed's decision this Wednesday. Helping the pair were US Treasury yields, as the 10-year note benchmark touched 2.98%, while the 2-year note yield climbed to 2.51%, its highest since September 2008. Earlier in the day, data coming from Japan was encouraging, as the April Nikkei Manufacturing PMI beating expectations with 53.8, but given that the BOJ decision to maintain stimulus is fresh in investors' memory, the positive figure had no direct effect on the pair. The pair retains its positive stance according to technical readings in the 4 hours chart, as it holds far above bullish moving averages, while the Momentum indicator heads north at weekly highs, and the RSI retreats modestly after testing 70. Overall, a break of 110.00 seems likely with a hawkish Fed, with steady gains above it favoring an advance up to 111.20 the next big static resistance level.

Support levels: 108.95 108.60 108.25

Resistance levels: 109.50 109.90 110.20

View Live Chart for the USD/JPY

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading 

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.