USD/CHF forming an ending diagonal

Gregor Horvat Wavetraders

Per our latest update on Forex pair USD/CHF, we spotted that the current bounce could be a suckers rally inside zigzag pattern for wave B. Here is the snippet from our update.

USDCHF has made a nice and interesting recovery since September, but so far only in three waves, with a recent reversal down from around the 0.8070 area, so recovery might have been just another corrective rally within an incomplete downtrend. As we know, if we don’t see five waves up from the lows, then the bottom is likely not in place yet. In fact, if current prices break the channel support and move through 0.7940, we should be aware of a possible retest of the 2025 lows, which could be the final leg within a higher-degree ending diagonal. Also keep in mind that USDCHF could still move lower even in a risk-off mode, as the Swiss franc tends to act as a safe haven in times of uncertainty. However, if we see a sudden and very strong franc in the weeks ahead, the Swiss National Bank could step in and take action to prevent it from rising too far, as they already expressed some concern about that in recent statements.

Ending diagonal

An ending diagonal is a wedge-shaped 5-wave pattern (1–2–3–4–5) appearing in wave 5 or C, signaling trend exhaustion, as price is struggling to resume lower.

Each wave subdivides into three smaller waves, with wave one and four overlaps as momentum fades.

It often ends with a sharp breakout in the opposite direction.

Get Full Access To Our Premium Elliott Wave Analysis For 14 Days. Click here.

Author

Gregor Horvat

Wavetraders

Experience Grega is based in Slovenia and has been in the Forex market since 2003.

EUR/USD hits two-day highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD picks up pace and reaches two-day tops around 1.1820 at the end of the week. The pair’s move higher comes on the back of renewed weakness in the US Dollar amid growing talk that the Fed could deliver an interest rate cut as early as March. On the docket, the flash US Consumer Sentiment improves to 57.3 in February.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold climbs further, focus is back to 45,000

Gold regains upside traction and surpasses the $4,900 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, shifting its attention to the critical $5,000 region. The move reflects a shift in risk sentiment, driving flows back towards traditional safe haven assets and supporting the yellow metal.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid risk-off, $2.6 billion liquidation wave

Bitcoin edges up above $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as dust from the recent macro-triggered sell-off settles. The leading altcoin, Ethereum, hovers above $1,900, but resistance at $2,000 caps the upside. Meanwhile, Ripple has recorded the largest intraday jump among the three assets, up over 10% to $1.35.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans.

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.