|

USD/CAD Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

USDCAD Elliott Wave Analysis Trading Lounge day chart.

U.S. Dollar / Canadian Dollar (USDCAD) day chart.

USD/CAD Elliott Wave technical analysis

  • Function: Bullish Trend.

  • Mode: Impulsive.

  • Structure: Navy blue wave 1.

  • Position: Gray wave 3.

  • Direction (next lower degrees): Navy blue wave 2.

  • Details: Navy blue wave 1 of 3 is in play.

  • Wave cancel invalidation level: 1.34180.

The USDCAD Elliott Wave analysis on the daily chart shows that the market is in a bullish trend with an impulsive wave structure. Currently, the chart highlights gray wave 3, which is part of the broader navy blue wave 1. This indicates that the market is experiencing an upward movement, following the resolution of earlier corrective waves.

The focus remains on navy blue wave 1 of gray wave 3, which is actively developing. This suggests continued upward momentum in the market. Impulsive waves, such as wave 3, generally indicate strong price movements aligned with the trend. As this wave unfolds, USDCAD is likely to maintain its upward trajectory. Once this bullish wave completes, the next wave to emerge will be navy blue wave 2, initiating a corrective phase.

An invalidation level has been identified at 1.34180. Should the price drop below this point, it would invalidate the current Elliott Wave structure, signaling the need to reassess the market outlook. Until this level is breached, the bullish trend remains intact, with expectations of further price increases.

In summary, the USDCAD is showing a bullish trend, with gray wave 3 of navy blue wave 1 currently in motion. Traders should remain alert for additional upward movement as wave 1 of 3 continues to evolve. The 1.34180 level serves as a critical invalidation point—if breached, it will disrupt the current wave structure. Should the bullish trend proceed as forecasted, the market will move into a corrective navy blue wave 2 following the completion of the current wave.

USDCAD

U.S. Dollar / Canadian Dollar (USDCAD) four-hour chart

USD/CAD Elliott Wave technical analysis

  • Function: Bullish Trend.

  • Mode: Impulsive.

  • Structure: Orange wave 3.

  • Position: Navy blue wave 1.

  • Direction (next lower degrees): Orange wave 4.

  • Details: Orange wave 2 is likely complete; orange wave 3 of navy blue wave 1 is in play.

  • Wave cancel invalidation level: 1.34180.

The USDCAD Elliott Wave analysis for the 4-hour chart reflects a bullish trend, following an impulsive wave structure. The active wave in play is orange wave 3, part of the larger navy blue wave 1 structure. The analysis suggests that orange wave 2 has likely concluded, with orange wave 3 now unfolding within navy blue wave 1.

This implies the market is in an upward phase, with more bullish movement anticipated as orange wave 3 advances. In Elliott Wave theory, wave 3 tends to exhibit the strongest momentum, often bringing substantial price gains. Traders should expect continued upward momentum while this wave is in progress.

Following the completion of orange wave 3, the market will likely enter a corrective orange wave 4. This phase is expected to offer a temporary pullback, giving the market a brief rest before the bullish trend resumes.

The wave cancel invalidation level is set at 1.34180. If the price dips below this point, the current Elliott Wave count will be invalidated, requiring a reassessment of the wave structure. However, if the price stays above this level, the bullish outlook will remain intact.

In summary, USDCAD is currently following a bullish trend, with orange wave 3 actively unfolding. The completion of orange wave 2 signals further upward momentum. Traders should monitor the invalidation level at 1.34180 as a key threshold. After the conclusion of orange wave 3, the market may enter a corrective orange wave 4 before the bullish trend resumes.

USDCAD

USD/CAD Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Author

Peter Mathers

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

More from Peter Mathers
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.