USD/CAD Elliott Wave: Incomplete sequences forecasting the path

Elliott Wave Forecast Team ElliottWave-Forecast.com

USDCAD has completed a 3-wave recovery against the 1.41403 peak and reacted lower as expected. In this technical article, we’ll take a brief look at the Elliott Wave outlook for USDCAD and outline the key target levels

USD/CAD Elliott Wave one-hour chart 11.17.2025

Let’s take a look at the USDCAD Elliott Wave chart from November 17th, which we presented to members. The pair completed 5 waves in the cycle from the 1.41403 peak, which suggests further downside once a 3-wave correction is finished. The approximate target area for wave 2 typically falls within the 50%–61.8% Fibonacci retracement, which in this case comes in at 1.4062–1.4080. From that zone, we expect further weakness.

USD/CAD Elliott Wave one-hour chart 11.19.2025

USDCAD completed a 3-wave recovery exactly at the 50% Fibonacci zone (1.4062) and then declined as expected. Eventually, the pair broke below the previous 1.3986 low, confirming that the next leg down is in progress. As long as the price stays below the B red peak (1.4062), USDCAD is now targeting the 1.39024 area.

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Elliott Wave Forecast Team

ElliottWave-Forecast.com

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