|

US small caps: Bust or boom? Forex trading long GBP/CHF [Video]

In a surprise rumour, the Bank of England may not raise interest rates this week.

How will that affect the Pound?

The charts show weakness on GBP pairs, but this may change this week if the Bank of England votes to leave Interest Rates where they are.

The forecast says just that.

EURGBP opened with a huge gap this morning but the gap was filled quite quickly.

If we look at the 4-hour and daily charts, the prevailing direction is bearish and if GBP gets stronger, we may be looking at a nice short trade.

Also, the stochastic oscillator is very overbought.

We see a long opportunity on GBPCHF with price action at the lower trend line.

The stochastic oscillator looks a bit flakey but it is currently oversold.

If you look around various charts, you will see quite a few huge weekend gaps around the Monday morning opening in New Zealand.

You may think that these are great trading opportunities and sometimes they are.

However, if you try it you will notice that the spreads are so wide, you may be quite disappointed when you open a trade, beware.

We were looking at a long trade last time on the DJIA, buying the dip, as the other major indices are bullish.

The dip on the Russell 2000 index of small-cap companies, however, may be in doubt if the next US president follows through on his tariff threats.  

Watch this space and we will keep an eye on price action and the news.

Getting back to the economic calendar, we have an incredible amount of opportunities including an Interest Rate Decision from the Bank of Japan.

Author

Brad Alexander

Brad Alexander

FX Large Limited

Brad became fascinated with the Currency Markets from a young age and researched fundamental analysis.

More from Brad Alexander
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD edges above 1.1750 due to ECB-Fed policy divergence

EUR/USD has recovered its recent losses registered in the previous session, trading around 1.1760 during the Asian hours on Friday. Traders will likely observe Germany’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index data later in the day.

GBP/USD gathers strength above 1.3450 on Fed rate cut bets, BoE's gradual policy path

The GBP/USD pair gathers strength to around 1.3480 during the early Asian session on Friday. Expectations of the US Federal Reserve rate cuts this year weigh on the US Dollar against the Pound Sterling. Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson is set to speak later on the weekend. 

Gold climbs to near $4,350 on Fed rate cut bets, geopolitical risks

Gold price rises to near $4,345 during the early Asian session on Friday. Gold finished 2025 with a significant rally, achieving an annual gain of around 65%, its biggest annual gain since 1979. The rally of the precious metal is bolstered by the prospect of further US interest rate cuts in 2026 and safe-haven flows.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple enter the New Year with breakout hopes

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple entered the new year trading at key technical levels on Friday, as traders seek fresh directional cues in January. With BTC locked in a tight range, ETH is approaching its 50-day Exponential Moving Average, while XRP is nearing resistance. A clear breakout across these top three cryptocurrencies could help define market momentum in the opening weeks of the year.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).