The Fed will most probably keep the rates unchanged today [Video]

Ipek Ozkardeskaya Swissquote Bank Ltd

Yesterday’s Bank of Japan (BoJ) decision to exit the negative rates went quite smoothly for equities and bonds, relatively disquieting for the yen. The USDJPY spiked past 151.50 this morning while the EURJPY hit a fresh high despite the dovish vibes from the European Central Bank (ECB) and a hawkish move from the BoJ.

In the US, the Federal Reserve (Fed) will most probably keep the rates unchanged today, update its dot plot and maybe give a hint on whether they will start slowing QT.

The EURUSD is testing the 100-DMA to the downside before the Fed decision, while Cable is preparing to return to the December-to-March down trending channel following a softer-than-expected inflation report released just this morning in the UK. Strong US dollar and rising US yields pressure gold prices to the downside, while US crude extended gains extended gains past the $83.50pb yesterday after the latest API data showed that the US oil inventories continued to drop on the week to March 15th. The S&P500 flirts with ATH levels, Nvidia remains upbeat, risk appetite remains strong as Reddit prepares to go public.

Author

Ipek Ozkardeskaya

Swissquote Bank Ltd

Ipek Ozkardeskaya began her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked in HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high-net-worth clients.

EUR/USD weakens to near 1.1900 as traders eye US data

EUR/USD eases to near 1.1900 in Tuesday's European trading hours, snapping the two-day winning streak. Markets turn cautious, lifting the haven demand for the US Dollar ahead of the release of key US economic data, including Retail Sales and ADP Employment Change 4-week average.

GBP/USD stays in the red below 1.3700 on renewed USD demand

GBP/USD trades on a weaker note below 1.3700 in the European session on Tuesday. The pair faces challenges due to renewed US Dollar demand, UK political risks and rising expectations of a March Bank of England rate cut. The immediate focus is now on the US Retail Sales data.

Gold sticks to modest losses above $5,000 ahead of US data

Gold sticks to modest intraday losses through the first half of the European session, though it holds comfortably above the $5,000 psychological mark and the daily swing low. The outcome of Japan's snap election on Sunday removes political uncertainty, which along with signs of easing tensions in the Middle East, remains supportive of the upbeat market mood. This turns out to be a key factor exerting downward pressure on the safe-haven precious metal.

Bitcoin Cash trades lower, risks dead-cat bounce amid bearish signals

Bitcoin Cash trades in the red below $522 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after multiple rejections at key resistance. BCH’s derivatives and on-chain indicators point to growing bearish sentiment and raise the risk of a dead-cat bounce toward lower support levels.

Follow the money, what USD/JPY in Tokyo is really telling you

Over the past two Tokyo sessions, this has not been a rate story. Not even close. Interest rate differentials have been spectators, not drivers. What has moved USD/JPY in local hours has been flow and flow alone.

Bitcoin Cash trades lower, risks dead-cat bounce amid bearish signals

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) trades in the red below $522 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after multiple rejections at key resistance. BCH’s derivatives and on-chain indicators point to growing bearish sentiment and raise the risk of a dead-cat bounce toward lower support levels.