|

Delayed US Non-Farm Payrolls' effect on USD? – JPY stronger post-elections: Will it last? [Video]

  • In today’s Market Outlook, let’s take a look at Forex Trading on GBPCHF, the NASDAQ, EURJPY, USDJPY, USDCAD, and EURUSD.
  • Looking at USD pairs, we see short-term weakness after a brief period of strength.
  • The markets may be a bit slow today as we are all waiting for tomorrow’s delayed Non-Farm Payrolls, which always move the markets.
Youtube preview

Also, this week, we have US Retail Sales, US Unemployment Claims, and CPI, so the combination of all this will give the Fed some idea of where the economy is headed, especially in terms of the labour force and inflation.

USD weakness looks like this USDJPY chart for most of the major pairs.

However, JPY is stronger right after the elections as confidence returns to Japan.

However, many analysts believe that this strength is short-lived, so we will be watching pairs like EURJPY to see if price action bounces back off this lower trend line.

USDJPY doesn’t have a clear upward trend channel like the other pairs, but we see a very oversold stochastic oscillator on both the 1-hour and the 4-hour charts.

We talked about one index lagging behind others, and we see it again with the NASDAQ well behind the S&P500, the DJIA, and the Russell2000.

There are many reasons for this, but if investors feel risk-on in the markets any time soon, we may see a resurgence.

We also have GDP from the UK and CPI from Switzerland, so you will find a few charts showing bull and bear runs on both currencies.

If the news moves price action against the trend, you may have an opportunity to trade with the trend.

We have been looking at setting up and using Simple Moving Averages on cTrader, so now let’s look at Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs).

To set one up, click on the Indicators icon and, under Trend, select Exponential Moving Average.

Set the period you want, the Color, and Line thickness.

An EMA is essentially the same as an SMA, but the EMA gives more weight to recent price change so it reacts faster.

Many traders prefer the EMAs as they provide a smoother curve, as we can see by comparing these Moving Average Crosses…SMAs vs EMAs.

As with any technical indicator, find what works for you and backtest, backtest, and backtest.

Author

Brad Alexander

Brad Alexander

FX Large Limited

Brad became fascinated with the Currency Markets from a young age and researched fundamental analysis.

More from Brad Alexander
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD treads water around 1.1900

EUR/USD edges a tad lower around the 1.1900 area, coming under mild pressure despite the US Dollar keeps the offered stance on turnaround Tuesday. On the US data front, December Retail Sales fell short of expectations, while the ADP four week average printed at 6.5K.

GBP/USD looks weak near 1.3670

GBP/USD trades on the back foot around the 1.3670 region on Tuesday. Cable’s modest retracement also comes in tandem with the decent decline in the Greenback. Moving forward, the US NFP and CPI data in combination with key UK releases should kee the quid under scrutiny in the next few days.

Gold the battle of wills continues with bulls not ready to give up

Gold comes under marked selling pressure on Tuesday, giving back part of its recent two day advance and threatening to challenge the key $5,000 mark per troy ounce. The yellow metal’s correction follows a better tone in the risk complex, a lower Greenback and shrinking US Treasuty yields.

AI Crypto Update: BankrCoin, Pippin surge as sector market cap steadies above $12B

The Artificial Intelligence (AI) segment is largely on the back foot with major coins such as Bittensor (TAO) and Internet Computer (ICP) extending losses amid a sticky risk-off sentiment.

Dollar drops and stocks rally: The week of reckoning for US economic data

Following a sizeable move lower in US technology Stocks last week, we have witnessed a meaningful recovery unfold. The USD Index is in a concerning position; the monthly price continues to hold the south channel support.

XRP holds $1.40 amid ETF inflows and stable derivatives market

Ripple trades under pressure, with immediate support at $1.40 holding at the time of writing on Tuesday. A recovery attempt from last week’s sell-off to $1.12 stalled at $1.54 on Friday, leading to limited price action between the current support and the resistance.