Soybean Elliott Wave analysis
The soybean market is currently retracing within a long-term corrective structure that has developed since the peak in June 2022. While short-term upside potential appears likely, the overarching trend suggests that a significant sell-off is poised to resume, potentially driving prices toward the lows seen in 2020.
Long-term perspective
Before the decline that began in June 2022, soybeans experienced a robust bullish impulse wave starting in May 2019, which propelled prices from approximately $806 to significant highs. However, over the past 26 months, the market has surrendered more than two-thirds of those gains. From an Elliott Wave standpoint, the current corrective phase is forming a three-swing pattern, a typical structure within corrective waves that indicates a complex retracement.
Daily chart analysis
On the daily chart, we observe this corrective structure unfolding at the primary wave degree. Wave A reached its conclusion at $1,249 in October 2023, followed by Wave B, which peaked at $1,398 in November 2023. Presently, we are witnessing the formation of Wave C to the downside. Within this unfolding Wave C, sub-waves (1), (2), and (2) of 5 have already been completed. The market is now experiencing a retracement in Wave (4), currently trading above the significant level of $1,000. A key question arises: how high can this Wave (4) rally extend?
Four-hour chart analysis
Zooming into the H4 chart, we find that Wave (4) has completed its first sub-wave, denoted as Wave A. The bullish reaction observed since September 11, 2024, suggests that Wave B may have concluded. For confirmation that Wave B has indeed ended and that we are transitioning into Wave C, the price must break above the high of Wave A. Should this scenario play out, we could expect Wave C to advance toward the $1,070 level. Alternatively, if the price fails to surpass the high of Wave A, it may indicate that Wave B is set to make another minor leg down, dipping slightly below $1,000 before establishing a solid support base to initiate Wave C.
Soybean Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]
As with any investment opportunity there is a risk of making losses on investments that Trading Lounge expresses opinions on.
Historical results are no guarantee of future returns. Some investments are inherently riskier than others. At worst, you could lose your entire investment. TradingLounge™ uses a range of technical analysis tools, software and basic fundamental analysis as well as economic forecasts aimed at minimizing the potential for loss.
The advice we provide through our TradingLounge™ websites and our TradingLounge™ Membership has been prepared without considering your objectives, financial situation or needs. Reliance on such advice, information or data is at your own risk. The decision to trade and the method of trading is for you alone to decide. This information is of a general nature only, so you should, before acting upon any of the information or advice provided by us, consider the appropriateness of the advice considering your own objectives, financial situation or needs. Therefore, you should consult your financial advisor or accountant to determine whether trading in securities and derivatives products is appropriate for you considering your financial circumstances.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD bounces off lows, back near 1.1330
EUR/USD meets daily support around the 1.1300 neighbourhood, managing to regain pace and revisit the 1.1330 region. Sentiment turned after President Trump proposed a “straight 50% tariff” on European imports, undermining the pair’s bullish momentum.
GBP/USD eases from tops, revisits the 1.3500 zone
GBP/USD benefits from broad US Dollar weakness, climbing to its highest level since February 2022 past 1.3500 at the end of the week. UK retail sales data surprised to the upside in April, lending extra wings to the quid.
Gold keeps the bullish tone near $3,350
Gold extends its weekly advance, trading around $3,350 per troy ounce on Friday. The rally in XAU/USD is driven by broad-based weakness in the Greenback, particulalry after President Trump’s threat to impose 50% tariffs on European imports.
Apple stock sinks below $200 after Trump threatens more tariffs Premium
Trump grows irate at Apple's move into India. President claims Apple must produce US-sold iPhone in US or face a 25% tariff. US equity futures slip more than 1% in Friday premarket after Trump threatens the EU with a 50% tariff.
Ripple Price Prediction: Whale accumulation sparks hope as rising exchange reserves signal caution
XRP sustains mid-week recovery as XRP/BTC flashes golden cross for the first time since 2017. Large volume holders increase XRP exposure, indicating rising demand and investor confidence.
The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD
SPONSORED Discover the top brokers for trading EUR/USD in 2025. Our list features brokers with competitive spreads, fast execution, and powerful platforms. Whether you're a beginner or an expert, find the right partner to navigate the dynamic Forex market.