|

RBA rate cut and Dollar strength – What's next?

Important news for the day

  • Tue, 12th, 06:30 CET        AU        RBA Interest Rate Decision.

US tariffs

US President Trump delayed the 100% tariffs on China. They would have come into force today but have been delayed by another 90 days. According to Trump the Chinese government is currently paving the way for extended agreements in regards to economic as well as national security. Also China agreed on such steps with also delaying their implementation of new tariffs over the US. China will keep their tariffs at 10% on the import of US products. Furthermore, the country will take steps to cut tariffs on products, where they won’t be needed. Trade talks remain underway and tariffs will remain at 30% on goods imported from China, whereas US imports into China will remain at 10%. 

Market talk

The RBA decided to cut interest rates as expected. The AUD/USD currency pair then started to lose some momentum and currently it looks like some strength of the Greenback returns. Most currencies currently start to trade weaker pushing towards lower levels. In particular Gold prices look interesting as they might weaken. XAUUSD has broken the 50- moving average to the downside based on the daily chart. This might offer a further slide in prices. The price of oil has regained some ground and might move slightly higher for now. The bearish trend in general still seems to be intact.

Tendencies in the markets

  • Equities sideways, USD stronger, Bitcoin sideways, ETH positive, oil weaker, Silver sideways, Gold weaker, JPY weaker.

Author

Frank Walbaum

Frank Walbaum

FX Strategies.Asia

Frank has been working in the TV business for several years. Acquiring his skills in Germany’s biggest broadcasting station, he then chose to work and live in Asia, which was in 2007.

More from Frank Walbaum
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD looks offered below 1.1900

EUR/USD keeps its bearish tone unchanged ahead of the opening bell in Asia, returning to the sub-1.1900 region following a firmer tone in the US Dollar. Indeed, the pair reverses two consecutive daily gains amid steady caution ahead of Wednesday’s key US Nonfarm Payrolls release.
 

GBP/USD slips back to daily lows near 1.3640

GBP/USD drops to daily lows near 1.3640 as sellers push harder and the Greenback extends its rebound in the latter part of Tuesday’s session. Looking ahead, the combination of key US releases, including NFP and CPI, alongside important UK data, should keep the pound firmly in focus over the coming days.

Gold the battle of wills continues with bulls not ready to give up

Gold remains on the defensive and approaches the key $5,000 region per troy ounce on Tuesday, giving back part of its recent two day. The precious metal’s pullback unfolds against a firmer tone in the US Dollar, declining US Treasury yields and steady caution ahead of upcoming key US data releases.

Bitcoin's downtrend caused by ETF redemptions and AI rotation: Wintermute

Bitcoin's (BTC) fall from grace since the October 10 leverage flush has been spearheaded by sustained ETF outflows and a rotation into the AI narrative, according to Wintermute.

Dollar drops and stocks rally: The week of reckoning for US economic data

Following a sizeable move lower in US technology Stocks last week, we have witnessed a meaningful recovery unfold. The USD Index is in a concerning position; the monthly price continues to hold the south channel support.

XRP holds $1.40 amid ETF inflows and stable derivatives market

Ripple trades under pressure, with immediate support at $1.40 holding at the time of writing on Tuesday. A recovery attempt from last week’s sell-off to $1.12 stalled at $1.54 on Friday, leading to limited price action between the current support and the resistance.