-
Sterling fell back to $1.06 after IMF raised concerns about UK economic policy.
-
Bank of England signals super-size rate hike but not until November.
-
Government bond yields hover at highs not seen since the financial crisis.
-
Stocks in Asia drop sharply after falls on Wall Street amid worries about global recession.
-
Oil dips back below $85 dollars as OPEC+ members mull a production cut.
Pound in retreat again
The beleaguered pound was in retreat again after the UK government was slapped by stinging criticism from the International Monetary Fund over its handling of economic policy.
Sterling dropped back to $1.06 after reaching $1.08 on Tuesday after the intervention by the IMF, which warned that these deep tax cuts were not only inappropriate with inflation so high, but would fuel inequality.
The IMF’s move has added to worries that the UK is fast taking on the characteristics of an emerging market economy, and risks ditching its developed country status. It’s now not only wracked with trade disruptions, an energy crisis and soaring inflation but it’s also being closely monitored by international body known as the world’s lender of last resort.
UK gilt yields - the interest paid on government debt - have retreated marginally but they are still sky high, with the yield on 10-year gilts hovering around 4.4%, up my more than 340% in a year.
They have hit the highest level since the financial crisis in 2008, which is piling pressure on mortgage holders, given gilt yields have an impact on swap rates, which guide lenders’ mortgage offers.
Corporate bond yields have shot up even for investment grade companies, considered to be low risk, adding to worries that companies needing to refinance soon or borrow more to cope with rising input costs could struggle to make repayments.
Bank Of England to hike interest rates
Expectations that there will be a super-size interest rate hike coming from the Bank of England to try and counter the government splurge on tax cuts and spending have increased.
But chief economist Huw Pill signalled this significant monetary response would not come until policymakers are due to meet as scheduled in November, instead of an emergency hike, which is likely to have added to the pound’s fresh weakness.
Fresh unease has spread about the slowdown in the global economy brought about by the rapid ratcheting up in rates by central banks around the world. Falls on Wall Street amid expectations of the Fed won’t more from its aggressive stance on inflation, which would push the US into recession, prompted a fast slide in stocks in Asia.
Oil has retreated again to below 85 dollars a barrel, amid worries that the risks of a global recession have escalated. There is also speculation that the oil cartel OPEC+ could slash production to try and stop the slide in prices. Oil producers had been sitting pretty on pipelines of cash higher prices had generated and want to preserve those lucrative flows.
VALUEWALK LLC is not a registered or licensed investment advisor in any jurisdiction. Nothing on this website or related properties should be considered personalized investments advice. Any investments recommended here in should be made only after consulting with your personal investment advisor and only after performing your own research and due diligence, including reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the issuer of any security. VALUEWALK LLC, its managers, its employees, affiliates and assigns (collectively “The Company”) do not make any guarantee or warranty about the advice provided on this website or what is otherwise advertised above. The Company is not registered or licensed by any governing body in any jurisdiction to give investing advice or provide investment recommendation. The Company disclaims any liability in the event any information, commentary, analysis, opinions, advice and/or recommendations provided herein prove to be inaccurate, incomplete or unreliable, or result in any investment or other losses.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD languishes near its lowest level since March, trades just above mid-1.0500s

The EUR/USD pair enters a bearish consolidation phase and oscillates in a narrow range near its lowest level since March 16, around the 1.0555 area touched during the Asian session on Wednesday.
GBP/USD extends losses below 1.2150 on hot US data, focus shifts to Core PCE, UK GDP

GBP/USD continues the losing streak that began on September 20, trading below 1.2150 during the Asian session on Wednesday. Upbeat economic data from the United States (US) reinforces the prevailing pressure on the pair.
Gold price remains vulnerable near one-month low on bullish USD, Fed rate hike bets

Gold price shows some resilience below the $1,900 mark during the Asian session on Wednesday, albeit struggles to register any meaningful recovery from over a one-month low touched the previous day. A generally weaker risk tone lends some support to the safe-haven precious metal.
Litecoin price is failing recovery as Whales pull back to December 2020 lows

Litecoin price was showing some signs of recovery about two weeks ago, but it failed to sustain the bullish momentum, resulting in minor corrections. While broader market cues are to be blamed for this, a lot of the credit goes to the whales, too, whose disappointing performance has impacted the altcoin.
U.S. government shutdowns & U.S. Dollar implications

A potential U.S. government shutdown that could start October 1st looms, the chances of which are more or less seen as a coin flip at this point. Should a shutdown transpire, there could be a negative impact of the U.S dollar, albeit one that is likely to be modest and short-lived.