|

Patterns: ZAR/JPY, CAD/JPY, GBP/CAD, GBP/AUD

ZAR/JPY 1H Chart: Pressured by 100– and 200-hour SMAs

The ZAR/JPY exchange rate reversed south from the resistance level formed by the Fibonacci 50.00% retracement and reached the lower boundary of the long-term ascending channel at 7.58.

Currently, the currency pair is testing the resistance level formed by a combination of the 100– and 200-hour SMAs at 7.71. If given resistance does not hold, it is likely that some upside potential prevails in the market.

Otherwise, it is likely that the rate re-tests the lower channel line. If given trend does not hold, it is expected that a breakout south occurs within the following sessions. Potential downside target is the psychological level at 7.20.

ZARJPY

CAD/JPY 1H Chart: Short-term channel in sight

The Canadian Dollar has been depreciating against the Japanese Yen since the beginning of March. This movement has been bounded in the descending channel.

As apparent on the chart, the CAD/JPY currency pair has already reversed north. From a theoretical perspective, the exchange rate should reach the upper channel line located circa 83.50 in the nearest future. If given channel holds, the pair reverses south and continues to trade within given trend.

Otherwise, it is likely that a breakout north occurs within the following sessions. However, important resistance level to look out for is the monthly PP at 83.89.

CADJPY

GBP/CAD 4H Chart: Remains near support at 1.7647

The British Pound has appreciated about 2.11% in value against the Canadian Dollar since last week's trading session. The currency pair re-tested June 2018 high level at 1.7789 during Monday's trading session.

The exchange rate was trading near a support cluster formed by the 50– hour simple moving average and the weekly PP at 1.7646 during the morning hours of today's session.

If this support cluster holds, the currency exchange rate will aim for a new 2019 high levels during the following trading sessions.

On the other hand, if the GBP/CAD pair passes the cluster as mentioned above, bearish traders could push the pair towards the 200-hour SMA at 1.7411.

GBPCAD

GBP/AUD 4H Chart: Awaits Brexit agreement vote

The Pound Sterling has depreciated about 2.31% in value against the Australian Dollar since Tuesday last week. The currency pair reached February 8 support level at 1.8339 during last week's trading session.

Everything being equal, it is likely that the GBP/AUD exchange rate will continue its decline during the following trading sessions. The potential downside target will be near a support cluster at 1.8151.

However, taking into considerations the political event that is happening in the United Kingdom, the technical analysis might not support the descriptions as mentioned above.

GBPAUD

Author

Dukascopy Bank Team

Dukascopy Bank Team

Dukascopy Bank SA

Dukascopy Bank stands as an innovative Swiss online banking institution, with its headquarters situated in Geneva, Switzerland.

More from Dukascopy Bank Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: US Dollar to remain pressured until uncertainty fog dissipates

Unimpressive European Central Bank left monetary policy unchanged for the fifth consecutive meeting. The United States first-tier employment and inflation data is scheduled for the second week of February. EUR/USD battles to remain afloat above 1.1800, sellers moving to the sidelines.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold: Volatility persists in commodity space

After losing more than 8% to end the previous week, Gold remained under heavy selling pressure on Monday and dropped toward $4,400. Although XAU/USD staged a decisive rebound afterward, it failed to stabilize above $5,000. The US economic calendar will feature Nonfarm Payrolls and Consumer Price Index data for January, which could influence the market pricing of the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook and impact Gold’s performance.

Week ahead: US NFP and CPI data to shake Fed cut bets, Japan election looms

US NFP and CPI data awaited after Warsh’s nomination as Fed chief. Yen traders lock gaze on Sunday’s snap election. UK and Eurozone Q4 GDP data also on the agenda. China CPI and PPI could reveal more weakness in domestic demand.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.