Patterns: GBP/CAD, ZAR/JPY

Dukascopy Bank Team Dukascopy Bank SA

GBP/CAD 1H Chart: Possible reversal from channel

GBP/CAD was guided by an ascending channel since mid-August prior to breaching this pattern last Friday in response to solid Canadian employment data. As a result, the Pound fell to the monthly S1 at 1.6778. From theoretical point of view, the pair should go for a retracement from the bottom channel line circa 1.6950. However, given that the 55-hour SMA and the weekly PP are located nearby, this scenario might not be realised in this session, thus leaving the rate in the 1.6800/50 territory. Technical indicators suggest that there might be a change in sentiment within the following trading sessions, thus allowing for the rate to reach the aforementioned 1.6950 are, likewise reinforced by the 100– and 200-hour SMAs and the 23.60% Fibo retracement.

ZAR/JPY 1H Chart: Pair moves in triangle

The prevailing pattern that has guided ZAR/JPY for the past two-and-a-half months is a channel up. The latest test of its upper boundary occurred on December 27 when the South African Rand reversed from the 9.27 area. Along the way, a descending triangle was likewise formed with the bottom boundary being the 8.9871 mark and the upper—a declining trend-line. The positioning of both patterns and the strength of the nearest resistance cluster suggest that the pair is likely to decline within this week. The pair should largely respect the triangle until the bottom channel boundary is reached in the 8.95/9.05 territory. Meanwhile, the dashed short-term channel is unlikely to hold for long, as the pair is expected to decline in a flatter manner.

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Dukascopy Bank SA

Dukascopy Bank stands as an innovative Swiss online banking institution, with its headquarters situated in Geneva, Switzerland.

EUR/USD hits two-day highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD picks up pace and reaches two-day tops around 1.1820 at the end of the week. The pair’s move higher comes on the back of renewed weakness in the US Dollar amid growing talk that the Fed could deliver an interest rate cut as early as March. On the docket, the flash US Consumer Sentiment improves to 57.3 in February.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold climbs further, focus is back to 45,000

Gold regains upside traction and surpasses the $4,900 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, shifting its attention to the critical $5,000 region. The move reflects a shift in risk sentiment, driving flows back towards traditional safe haven assets and supporting the yellow metal.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid risk-off, $2.6 billion liquidation wave

Bitcoin edges up above $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as dust from the recent macro-triggered sell-off settles. The leading altcoin, Ethereum, hovers above $1,900, but resistance at $2,000 caps the upside. Meanwhile, Ripple has recorded the largest intraday jump among the three assets, up over 10% to $1.35.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans.

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.