|

Patterns: EUR/AUD, EUR/CAD, USD/CNH, USD/THB

EUR/AUD 4H Chart: Could make brief retracement

The common European currency has surged by 3.89% in value against the Australian Dollar since January 1. A breakout occurred through the upper boundary of an ascending channel pattern at 1.6456 during Friday's trading session.

Given that a breakout had occurred, the EUR/AUD exchange rate will most likely continue to edge higher. The potential target for bullish traders would be near the psychological resistance level at 1.6750.

However, the currency exchange rate is expected to make a brief downside retracement towards the weekly S1 at 1.6314 within this week's trading sessions.

EURAUD

EUR/CAD 4H Chart: Could edge lower

The European single currency has surged by 239 pips or 1.65% in value against the Canadian Dollar since last week's trading sessions. A breakout occurred through the upper border of a descending channel pattern on January 31.

All things being equal, the EUR/CAD exchange rate will most likely continue to trade bullish during the following trading sessions. The potential target for the pair will be near a resistance cluster formed by the weekly R1 and the monthly R1 at 1.4767.

Although, bearish traders might drive the currency exchange rate towards the weekly S1 and the 200– hour simple moving average at 1.4549 within this week's trading sessions.

EURCAD

USD/CNH 1H Chart: Bulls could prevail

The USD/CNH currency pair has been trading upwards since the middle of January when it failed to surpass the Fibonacci 38.20% retracement at 6.8333. Currently, the pair is trading at 7.0200 level.

Note that the exchange rate is supported by the 55– and 100-hour moving averages, currently located circa 6.9900. Thus, some upside potential could continue to prevail in the market. The rate could reach the 2019 high at 7.2000.

However, note that the currency pair would have to surpass the monthly R1 at 7.0573. If the given resistance level holds, a reversal south could occur in the nearest future, and the pair could re-test the Fibo 38.20%.

USDCNH

USD/THB 1H Chart: two scenarios likely

The US Dollar has been appreciating against the Thai Baht since the beginning of January after the USD/THB currency pair reversed north from the Fibo 100.00% at 29.75.

Currently, the exchange rate is testing the resistance level formed by the Fibo 61.80% at 31.18. Note that the rate supported by the 100– and 200-hour SMAs. Thus, some upside potential could prevail, and the rate could target the Fibo 38.20% at 32.07.

However, if the given resistance level holds, a reversal south could, and the currency pair could re-test the Fibo 100.00% in the medium term.

USDTHB

Author

Dukascopy Bank Team

Dukascopy Bank Team

Dukascopy Bank SA

Dukascopy Bank stands as an innovative Swiss online banking institution, with its headquarters situated in Geneva, Switzerland.

More from Dukascopy Bank Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flatlines below 1.1800 amid trading lull, awaits Fed Minutes

EUR/USD trades around a flatline below 1.1800 in European trading on Tuesday. The pair lacks any trading impetus as the US Dollar moves little amid market caution ahead of the Fed's December Meeting Minutes release, which could offer insights into the Federal Reserve’s 2026 outlook.

GBP/USD retakes 1.3500 despite the year-end grind

GBP/USD finds fresh demand and retakes 1.3500 on Tuesday as markets grind through the last trading week of the year. Despite the latest uptick, the pair is unlikely to see further progress due to the year-end holiday volumes.

Gold holds the bounce on Fed rate cut bets, safe-haven flows

Gold holds the rebound near $4,350 in the European trading hours on Tuesday. The precious metal recovers some lost ground after falling 4.5% in the previous session, which was Gold's largest single-day loss since October. Increased margin requirements on gold and silver futures by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group, one of the world’s largest trading floors for commodities, prompted widespread profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing.

Tron steadies as Justin Sun invests $18 million in Tron Inc.

Tron (TRX) trades above $0.2800 at press time on Monday, hovering below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.2859.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).