Ipek Ozkardeskaya
Swissquote Bank Ltd
The week kicked off with a jump in oil prices, after Saudi announced that it will cut its production by 1mbpd.
US crude gapped 3.5% higher on Monday open, while Brent crude traded past $78pb. But the rally remained short-lived, and below the peak reached after Saudi Prince bin Salman had told oil bears to watch out a couple of weeks ago.
Asian equities were mostly in the green this Monday, to catch up with the US session rally following Friday’s jobs data.
The US dollar remains well bid against most majors, as the EURUSD is offered into the 1.07 level, and the USDJPY easily finds buyers below the 140 level, as yield spread between the US Japan 10-year bond spread remains favourable for buying the pair.
The US dollar remains under pressure against the Canadian dollar, on the other hand, as the OPEC-fueled oil prices leads to some inflows into the Loonie, while the AUDUSD spiked on Friday, boosted by a rally in iron ore futures, and defying a broadly bid US dollar.
In equities, the rising yields haven’t yet translated into selling pressure. The S&P500 rallied 1.45% on Friday, and is now approaching last summer peak, as the US debt ceiling agreement, and strong jobs data hinted that the US is still far from recession levels. The problem is that the US Treasury will issue a ton of new bonds from now to refill the Treasury’s General Account which got almost emptied during the debt ceiling crisis, and that will hit the market liquidity along with the Fed which will continue pulling away liquidity from the market within its QT program.
This report has been prepared by Swissquote Bank Ltd and is solely been published for informational purposes and is not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any currency or any other financial instrument. Views expressed in this report may be subject to change without prior notice and may differ or be contrary to opinions expressed by Swissquote Bank Ltd personnel at any given time. Swissquote Bank Ltd is under no obligation to update or keep current the information herein, the report should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment.
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