The NZDUSD daily chart shows the early stages of a new trend using an impulsive Elliott Wave structure. The pair is currently forming orange wave 1 within a larger navy blue wave 1, suggesting the beginning of a potential sustained move on both the current and higher timeframes.

Orange wave 1 marks the first part of this emerging trend and typically reflects early momentum building as the market shifts direction. While wave 1 often has less forceful movement than later waves, its identification is key for confirming the start of a trend. The current formation supports the idea that the pair is initiating a five-wave sequence.

Next, orange wave 2 is expected after wave 1 finishes. This correction phase may offer a pullback opportunity before a stronger wave 3 develops. On the daily chart, this setup may signal the base of a larger trend movement.

The key invalidation level is 0.54866. If price drops below this point, it would challenge the current wave count, requiring a reassessment. This level acts as support and protects the starting point of the wave.

Market participants should watch for wave 1 behavior, including steady upward movement and building momentum. The outlook points to monitoring for trend confirmation and possible pullbacks, which could offer better entry levels. Using technical indicators and price action analysis will help validate the wave structure as it evolves.

NZD/USD Elliott Wave technical analysis

Function: Trend.

Mode: Impulsive.

Structure: Orange wave 1.

Position: Navy Blue Wave 1.

Direction next lower degrees: Orange wave 2.

Details: Orange wave 1 of navy blue wave 1 is forming, marking a new trend.

Wave cancel invalid level: 0.54866.

The NZDUSD 4-hour chart indicates a new trend developing within an impulsive Elliott Wave structure. Price has entered orange wave 1 inside a broader navy blue wave 1, pointing to the start of a fresh upward move. This structure suggests the initial wave of a five-wave impulse pattern is taking shape across both short and higher timeframes.

Orange wave 1 reflects the beginning of this trend, commonly seen with rising momentum as the market defines its new direction. While wave 1 usually shows slower price movement compared to later waves, its formation confirms the potential for a continuing trend. The current pattern implies a gradual build-up before the market reaches its first major correction.

Following wave 1, the market is expected to move into orange wave 2, a corrective phase likely to offer a pullback before the stronger orange wave 3 begins. The 4-hour chart gives key insights into this early structure, signaling that the current activity may be laying the groundwork for a longer-lasting trend.

The important invalidation level is 0.54866. A drop below this level would challenge the wave count and prompt a reassessment. This level serves as crucial support, protecting the wave's origin point.

Traders should observe wave 1’s typical traits: steady upward price moves and increasing momentum. The analysis encourages readiness for trend-following opportunities, noting that wave 1 might progress more moderately than later impulse waves. Using technical indicators and watching price behavior are key for confirming the structure and spotting the shift into wave 2.

Technical analyst: Malik Awais.

NZDUSD Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Author

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

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