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NZD takes the brunt of USD strength – Key levels ahead

The NZD came under heavy pressure yesterday, taking the full force of broad USD strength and a clear shift into risk‑off sentiment. Kiwi has always been highly sensitive to global risk appetite, and yesterday it faced a double hit: NZD being sold and USD being bought, exaggerating the downside move.

The decisive break below 0.6004 was the trigger, setting off a chain reaction of selling as stops were hit and momentum accelerated.
As it’s a potential Reversal Thursday, the focus now is whether the market deteriorates further. The 0.5948–0.5935 zone is pivotal. A loss here exposes 0.5903, which aligns with the 50% Fib and S2.

On the topside, resistance is heavy between 0.5992 and 0.6004. Kiwi will need to work hard against immediate bearish technicals. A clean break above 0.6004 brings the short‑term M/As into play at 0.6027, intersecting with R1. A move through here would ease downside pressure and could tempt nervous buyers back in.

Further down, the 55‑ and 200‑day M/As at 0.5879/72 form a critical support band — unlikely to yield easily, with profit‑taking and defensive buying expected.

AUD/NZD remains stable above yesterday’s 1.1806 high. Keep an eye on this cross — it often signals whether AUD or NZD will lead the next move.
My Money. My Risk.

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Author

Carol Harmer

Carol Harmer

Charmer Trading

Carol Harmer has over 39 years experience of analysing and trading the world's markets and is undoubtedly one of the most respected technical trader in the world today.

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