|

AUDJPY bounce setup

BTCUSD 4 HOUR

BTCUSD held up Monday following the weekend damage so I’m looking towards 56000 or so…then reassess.  56000s include former support, the underside of former trendline support, and VWAP from the high.

12/5 – That 11/10 reversal nailed the high.  From high to low, BTCUSD dropped 39%.  The low over the weekend was at the center line from the channel that originates at the 2015 low.  53000 has been a key level since September and I’m watching for resistance at that level.  With the low at the center line however, watch for support at 45000-46000.  An aggressive bearish target on a break of the center line is 23000.  The longer term picture is below.

USDCAD 4 HOUR

USDCAD broke short term trendline support, which is the trigger I’ve been waiting for to trigger a short.  Resistance should be the underside of the line near 1.2780.  The 61.8% retrace of the rally from 10/21 is 1.2500, which is in line with the September low.  Consider that a soft target for now.

USDCHF HOURLY

USDCHF appears to be putting the finishing touches on a corrective rally from the 11/30 low.  .9373/91 is ideal resistance.  This zone includes the former 4th wave high and 61.8% retrace of the decline from 11/24.

11/29 – USDCHF reversed sharply lower after trading just above the noted trendline from the 2019 high.  .9187 is a possible bounce level, especially given the possibility of 5 waves down from the high (see below).

AUDJPY DAILY

AUDJPY low on Friday was at the top side of former trendline resistance and the September low.  This is a good spot for a bounce (this pertains to ‘risk’ in general).  82.00/30 is well-defined for resistance.  Watch for support at 79.40/50.

Author

Scandinavian Markets Research Team

Scandinavian Markets Research Team

Scandinavian Capital Markets

Scandinavian Capital Markets' Research Team boasts world-renowned, professional market analysts and traders with proven track records in the markets and as business leaders.

More from Scandinavian Markets Research Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD hits two-day highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD picks up pace and reaches two-day tops around 1.1820 at the end of the week. The pair’s move higher comes on the back of renewed weakness in the US Dollar amid growing talk that the Fed could deliver an interest rate cut as early as March. On the docket, the flash US Consumer Sentiment improves to 57.3 in February.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold climbs further, focus is back to 45,000

Gold regains upside traction and surpasses the $4,900 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, shifting its attention to the critical $5,000 region. The move reflects a shift in risk sentiment, driving flows back towards traditional safe haven assets and supporting the yellow metal.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid risk-off, $2.6 billion liquidation wave

Bitcoin edges up above $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as dust from the recent macro-triggered sell-off settles. The leading altcoin, Ethereum, hovers above $1,900, but resistance at $2,000 caps the upside. Meanwhile, Ripple has recorded the largest intraday jump among the three assets, up over 10% to $1.35.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.