|

How high will precious metal prices go in 2023? [Video]

 It’s official:  Gold is everyone’s favourite trade once again and that's set to continue throughout 2023 on growing risk of further banking turmoil, a looming credit crunch and rising hopes of a Fed pivot. 

After two weeks of banking turmoil, the Federal Reserve on Wednesday continued to raise its benchmark interest rate for the ninth time in just over a year.

The Fed has now jacked up interest rates in the world’s largest economy at the fast pace in history – from virtually zero to a current range of 4.75% to 5% – the highest rate since 2007. Put another way, that’s a whopping grand slam total of 475 basis points of hikes since March 2022.

The fed also signalled that it might be nearing the end of its rate-hike cycle. In part, that is because a decline in bank lending could help the central bank unintentionally achieve its overarching goal of slowing the economy and taming inflation.

At the press conference that followed the rate decision, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said banking industry stress could trigger a “credit crunch” with significant implications, resulting in stricter lending thus making it extremely harder for individuals and businesses to qualify for loans, mortgages and credit. Powell concluded by saying “tighter lending conditions will have the same slowing effect on inflation that a Fed hike can”.

Historically, the Federal Reserve has never been right on monetary policy and has a proven track record of setting the economy up for an even bigger crisis ahead.

And that's exactly what we're seeing play out again, right now!

Traders have been piling into precious metals at astonishing pace this month following the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank as well as the disorderly implosion of Credit Suisse – with many market participants convinced that this could just be the tip of the iceberg.

Last week, the precious metal markets recorded a net inflow totalling $5.9 billion. That's the second largest inflow into safe-haven metals ever recorded in a single week since the 2008 Global Financial Crisis.

Evidence shows the global banking crisis was sparked as direct consequence of soaring interest rates and liquidity risks. But this crisis could be about to get even bigger as it quickly morphs into a “credit crisis” too.

This week, Gold prices have breached $2,000 an ounce twice, in a matter of days – notching up impressive gain of over 10%, since the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank earlier this month.

Interestingly, that’s the exact level Gold prices were trading at three years ago – back in March 2020 – just before prices blasted through all-time record highs.

Once again, the stars appear to be aligning for Gold, which suggests that new record highs could be on the horizon. That’s welcoming news for the bulls, but painful for anyone sitting on the sidelines, who must now decide how much FOMO they can handle.

Where are prices heading next? Watch The Commodity Report now, for my latest price forecasts and predictions:

Author

Phil Carr

Phil Carr

The Gold & Silver Club

Phil is the co-founder and Head of Trading at The Gold & Silver Club, an international Commodities Trading Firm specializing in Metals, Energies and Soft Commodities.

More from Phil Carr
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).