Ipek Ozkardeskaya
Swissquote Bank Ltd
The week started on a hopeful note after the de-escalation of tensions between Israel and Iran. Gold and oil retreated, equities gained. Bitcoin was better bid following halving while cocoa futures continued to fluctuate near record highs.
On the economic calendar, a series of PMI data are expected to confirm a slight improvement in global activity levels and a further divergence in US rebound. On the corporate calendar, tens of S&P500 companies are preparing to report their Q1 earnings.
Among them, Tesla is due to reveal its Q1 results after the bell and the expectations are weak. The selloff could continue if the company fails to convince investors on three major points. 1. Are sales continuing to fall after the sharp Q1 decline? 2. Is it a good idea to continue cutting the price of EVs provided that the latest cuts didn’t necessarily help boost sales? 3. Are robotaxis and self-driving cars realistic in terms of profit and growth?
Elsewhere, optimism regarding the S&P500 earnings reigns - which to me is an alarming sign. Remember, too much optimism kills optimism.
This report has been prepared by Swissquote Bank Ltd and is solely been published for informational purposes and is not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any currency or any other financial instrument. Views expressed in this report may be subject to change without prior notice and may differ or be contrary to opinions expressed by Swissquote Bank Ltd personnel at any given time. Swissquote Bank Ltd is under no obligation to update or keep current the information herein, the report should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment.
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