|

Gold: Bulls are clearly in control

Gold – Silver

Gold Spot we wrote: A break above 1850 targets 1875/80, 1895/1900 & eventually the 2011 high of 1911/20.

Nearly there after 3 strong days of gains.

Silver Spot we wrote: Bulls in control so a break above 2040 targets 2080/85 & 2300/05, perhaps as far as 2535/39. – We reached 2323 & are pausing but there's no sell signal in overbought conditions.

Daily Analysis

Gold rockets as far as 1895/1900 & eventually likely to retest the 2011 high of 1911/20. Obviously this is going to be key in severely overbought conditions. A sustained break higher (& weekly close above for confirmation) is a buy signal for next week.

With bulls clearly in control the downside is likely to be limited at this stage, despite overbought conditions. However below 1887 risks a slide to 1877/75, perhaps as far as 1867/65.

Silver severely overbought in short & longer term but definitely no sell signal as we hit 2300/05, perhaps as far as 2535/39. If we continue higher look for 2346/49 & 2390/95.

With bulls clearly in control the downside is likely to be limited at this stage, with minor support at 2236/32 & 2195/85.

Trends 
Weekly OutlookPositive
Daily OutlookPositive
Short Term OutlookPositive

Chart

Gold

Author

Jason Sen

Jason Sen

DayTradeIdeas.co.uk

More from Jason Sen
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: US Dollar to remain pressured until uncertainty fog dissipates

Unimpressive European Central Bank left monetary policy unchanged for the fifth consecutive meeting. The United States first-tier employment and inflation data is scheduled for the second week of February. EUR/USD battles to remain afloat above 1.1800, sellers moving to the sidelines.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold: Volatility persists in commodity space

After losing more than 8% to end the previous week, Gold remained under heavy selling pressure on Monday and dropped toward $4,400. Although XAU/USD staged a decisive rebound afterward, it failed to stabilize above $5,000. The US economic calendar will feature Nonfarm Payrolls and Consumer Price Index data for January, which could influence the market pricing of the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook and impact Gold’s performance.

Week ahead: US NFP and CPI data to shake Fed cut bets, Japan election looms

US NFP and CPI data awaited after Warsh’s nomination as Fed chief. Yen traders lock gaze on Sunday’s snap election. UK and Eurozone Q4 GDP data also on the agenda. China CPI and PPI could reveal more weakness in domestic demand.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.