|

Gold broke the continuation pattern yesterday

GOLD

Gold broke the continuation pattern yesterday and traded to 1448...We have seen a return to the breakpoint of 1434 and up we are again...Ignore overbought levels...as this is starting to trend these indicators will prove fruitless....go on price action only on here and measured targets...Now there are measured targets from this pattern...the initial on is the highest point of the pattern...1439...to the lowest 1381...you subtract 1381 from 1439 leaving you with a 58$ differential...

Now...add 58$ onto the break of the pattern...In this case 1439...and what do we get...1497...Now this is the minimum measured target....what in reality we are taught is that the length of the pole can be a measured target also..so we do the sums again...this time taking it further apart...thus...1439 minus 1275 = a 164$ move...add 164 onto 1439 and you get a long term target of 1603....

With these continuation patterns they are very easily seen...and usually take less than 4 weeks to form on a daily charts...Obviously the weekly and monthly timeframes have different time predictions....We are long Gold at 1434 and 1442...and we will hold this position...because unless Gold crashes below 1410 we are still on course for the measured targets stated above..Of course we will have pullbacks...we expect that..but the Fib levels and Pivot Points and chart support I have put on the charts will help us negotiate the " noise" and hopefully keep us in this trend for min target 1497...

XAUUSD

Author

Carol Harmer

Carol Harmer

Charmer Trading

Carol Harmer has over 39 years experience of analysing and trading the world's markets and is undoubtedly one of the most respected technical trader in the world today.

More from Carol Harmer
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD picks up amid easing geopolitical tensions, bright data from China

The Australian Dollar posts moderate gains against the US Dollar on Tuesday, regaining some of the ground lost last week, although it remains at its lowest level in nearly two months. News that Israel and Iran halted hostilities has triggered a mild relief rally. At the same time, upbeat Chinese trade data has provided additional support for the Aussie, as China is Australia’s major trading partner.

Japanese Yen steadies near recent lows as ceasefire, Japan intervention threats offset

USD/JPY trades around 160.15 on Tuesday, remaining close to its highest level since April 30 despite a broadly neutral intraday performance. The pair retains an underlying bullish bias, supported by expectations that US monetary policy will remain restrictive, although upside potential is being capped by the risk of intervention from Japanese authorities.

Gold dives to fresh two-month lows, aims to challenge $4,000

The selling pressure now gathers extra pace and sends Gold to new three-month lows near $4,230 per troy punce on Tuesday. That said, the yellow metal resumes its decline on the back of a recovery attempt in the US Dollar and the likelihood of a tighter-for-longer Fed this year.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP edge lower despite Middle East tensions easing

Cryptocurrency prices trade amid persistent selling pressure on Tuesday. Bitcoin (BTC) hovers near $63,000, Ethereum (ETH) above $1,650, and Ripple (XRP) around $1.14.

Hotter US inflation numbers could further bolster Fed hike bets

Middle East tensions keep inflation risks elevated. Fed hike fully priced in by year end amid strong NFP report. US CPI data on Wednesday (12:30 GMT) to enter the spotlight. Further acceleration in inflation could drive the Dollar higher.

The US economy defies the rules: 100 days into the Oil shock and the recession signal is still missing

More than three months after the start of the Iran war and the resulting disruption to global energy markets, the US economy continues to display remarkable resilience. The conflict has triggered a sharp rise in Oil prices, reignited inflationary pressures and fueled widespread concerns about a potential economic slowdown.