|

Gold broke the continuation pattern yesterday

GOLD

Gold broke the continuation pattern yesterday and traded to 1448...We have seen a return to the breakpoint of 1434 and up we are again...Ignore overbought levels...as this is starting to trend these indicators will prove fruitless....go on price action only on here and measured targets...Now there are measured targets from this pattern...the initial on is the highest point of the pattern...1439...to the lowest 1381...you subtract 1381 from 1439 leaving you with a 58$ differential...

Now...add 58$ onto the break of the pattern...In this case 1439...and what do we get...1497...Now this is the minimum measured target....what in reality we are taught is that the length of the pole can be a measured target also..so we do the sums again...this time taking it further apart...thus...1439 minus 1275 = a 164$ move...add 164 onto 1439 and you get a long term target of 1603....

With these continuation patterns they are very easily seen...and usually take less than 4 weeks to form on a daily charts...Obviously the weekly and monthly timeframes have different time predictions....We are long Gold at 1434 and 1442...and we will hold this position...because unless Gold crashes below 1410 we are still on course for the measured targets stated above..Of course we will have pullbacks...we expect that..but the Fib levels and Pivot Points and chart support I have put on the charts will help us negotiate the " noise" and hopefully keep us in this trend for min target 1497...

XAUUSD

Author

Carol Harmer

Carol Harmer

Charmer Trading

Carol Harmer has over 39 years experience of analysing and trading the world's markets and is undoubtedly one of the most respected technical trader in the world today.

More from Carol Harmer
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD remains depressed near 0.6950 after RBA minutes

AUD/USD attracts follow-through selling during Tuesday’s Asian session, looking to extend the overnight rejection slide from 0.7000, or a two-week top, following the release of RBA meeting Minutes. The US Dollar retains a bullish undertone near its highest level since April 2025 as energy-driven inflation risks keep December Fed rate hike bets firmly on the table. Adding to this, geopolitical risks further underpin the safe-haven USD.

USD/JPY eases from two-week top, hovers near 158.50 amid looming intervention risk

USD/JPY edges lower during the Asian session on Tuesday, snapping a two-day winning streak and pulling back from an over two-week top touched the previous day, despite Japan's soft PPI print. Bulls turn cautious amid speculation that authorities will step in to prop up the Japanese Yen, which, in turn, weighs on the currency pair. The downside, however, seems limited as the US Dollar stands firm near its highest level since April 2025, bolstered by the hawkish Fed and geopolitical uncertainties.

Gold struggles above $4.150 as bullish USD and elevated bond yields weigh

Gold remains depressed during the Asian session on Tuesday as elevated US Treasury yields and a hawkish Fed keep the US Dollar near its highest level since April 2025. Adding to this, persistent geopolitical uncertainties stemming from Middle East conflicts continue to underpin the safe-haven buck, which, in turn, is seen as weighing on the bullion. Traders now look to US inflation figures for some impetus ahead of Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's appearance on Friday.

Bitcoin shows bottoming signs despite recent macro pressures

Bitcoin remained range-bound above $82,000 on Monday as upcoming US economic data and onchain indicators weigh on market sentiment. Crypto trading firm QCP Group stated in its Monday report that Bitcoin has maintained a firmer footing a year after the market’s largest single-day liquidation event.

Earnings preview US and Europe: Can the stock market rally continue?
Stocks have been remarkably resilient this year. They have navigated geopolitical turmoil, an energy price spike and surging global bond yields which is rapidly pushing up the cost of borrowing. US blue chip stocks are now in their 4th year of a bull market, however, they now face their toughest test of Q4 so far, the latest earnings updates.
Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?
Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?