GBPUSD: strengthening within downtrend bearish move

Yann Quelenn Swissquote Bank Ltd

EUR/USD

Selling pressures are important at 1.1200.

EUR/USD is trading mixed. The pair is still trading below strong resistance given at 1.1300 (09/11/2017 high). Hourly support can be found at 1.1076 (18/05/2017 low). Stronger support lies at 1.0842 (11/05/2017 low).
In the longer term, the momentum is clearly negative. We favour a continued bearish bias towards parity. Key resistance holds at 1.1714 (24/08/2015 high) while strong support lies at 1.0341 (03/01/2017 low).

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GBP/USD

Strengthening within downtrend bearish move.

GBP/USD is still bouncing higher since the pair failed to hold below former hourly support given at 1.2636 (09/06/2017 low). Hourly resistance lies at 1.2818 (14/06/2017 high). Expected to show further renewed selling pressures.
The long-term technical pattern is even more negative since the Brexit vote has paved the way for further decline. Long-term support given at 1.0520 (01/03/85) represents a decent target. Long-term resistance is given at 1.5018 (24/06/2015) and would indicate a long-term reversal in the negative trend. Yet, it is very unlikely at the moment.

USD/JPY

Continued consolidation before testing again resistance at 112.13.

USD/JPY has failed to monitor resistance given at 112.13 (24/05/2017 high). Hourly support can be found at 108.89 (14/06/2017 high). Stronger support is located at 108.13 (17/04/2017 low).
We favor a long-term bearish bias. Support is now given at 96.57 (10/08/2013 low). A gradual rise towards the major resistance at 135.15 (01/02/2002 high) seems absolutely unlikely. Expected to decline further support at 93.79 (13/06/2013 low).

Author

Yann Quelenn

Swissquote Bank Ltd

Yann Quelenn is a Market Analyst at Swissquote Bank with strong technical and financial background. Previously, he worked as FX Trader at Banque Privée Edmond de Rothschild and as Portfolio Manager at Polaris Investment in Luxembourg.

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