GBP/USD: Trying to bounce

Peter A Rosenstreich Swissquote Bank Ltd

EUR/USD

Weak.

EUR/USD recovery bounce was short lived suggesting persistent selling pressure. The short-term technical structure is negative as long as prices remain below the hourly resistance at 1.2036 (11/01/2017 low). Next key support and resistance are now given at 1.1560 (07/112017 low) and 1.2323 (17/01/2018 high).
In the longer term, the momentum is turning largely negative. We favor a continued bearish bias. Key resistance is holding at 1.2886 (15/10/2014 high) while strong support lies at 1.1554 (08/11/2017 low).

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GBP/USD

Trying to bounce.

GBP/USD is trying to bounce near the 1.03324 strong support. Hourly support and resistance are given at 1.3324 (19/12/2017 low) and 1.3458 (11/01/2017 low. The technical structure suggests further downside.
The long-term technical pattern is reversing. The Brexit vote had paved the way for further decline but the pair is moving to 2016 highs. Long-term support and resistance are given at 1.1841 (07/10/2017 low) and 1.5018 (24/06/2016 high).

USD/JPY

Bearish pause.

USD/JPY has breached the key uptrend support at 110.15. The short-term technical structure is negative. Strong support and resistance are located at 108.74 (25/01/2018 low) and 111.48 (18/01/2018 high). The technical structure suggests short-term sideways trading moves.
We favor a long-term bearish bias. Support remains at 101.20 (09/11/2016 low). A gradual rise toward the major resistance at 125.86 (05/06/2015 high) seems unlikely. Expected to decline further support at 101.20 (09/11/2016 low). The pair trades slightly above its 200 DMA.

Author

Peter A Rosenstreich

Swissquote Bank Ltd

Peter Rosenstreich is Swissquote Bank’s Head of Market Strategy and manages the global strategy desk; he has held various positions in several banking institutions in the United States, Europe & Asia.

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