|

GBP/USD Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

GBP/USD Elliott Wave technical analysis

  • Function: Bullish Trend.

  • Mode: Impulsive.

  • Structure: Orange Wave 3.

  • Position: Navy Blue Wave.

  • Direction next lower degrees: Orange Wave 4.

  • Details: Orange Wave 2 of 3 appears to be completed; now, Orange Wave 3 is in progress.

  • Wave cancellation invalidation level: 1.20966.

Analysis overview

The GBPUSD Elliott Wave Analysis for the daily chart evaluates the British Pound against the U.S. Dollar, highlighting a bullish trend. The market mode is identified as impulsive, indicating strong momentum in the current trend direction.

The structure is classified as Orange Wave 3, forming part of a broader wave cycle within the Navy Blue Wave. This phase suggests that the market is experiencing significant upward movement.

Wave progression and key levels

The analysis suggests that Orange Wave 2, which served as a corrective phase within the larger wave structure, has likely completed. This signals the start of Orange Wave 3, expected to push the price higher.

Looking ahead, the next lower degree movement is identified as Orange Wave 4. This means that once Orange Wave 3 concludes, a corrective phase (Orange Wave 4) may follow.

A crucial level to monitor is the Wave Cancellation Invalidation Level at 1.20966. If the price falls below this threshold, the current wave count would be invalidated, potentially shifting the bullish outlook. Traders should watch this level closely to confirm trend continuation.

Summary

The GBPUSD Daily Chart Analysis indicates a bullish trend with impulsive momentum, currently in Orange Wave 3 within the larger Navy Blue Wave structure. The completion of Orange Wave 2 has paved the way for further upside movement.

The 1.20966 level acts as a critical invalidation point, defining whether the bullish trend remains intact. If Orange Wave 3 unfolds as anticipated, Orange Wave 4 (a corrective phase) will likely follow.

This analysis offers traders a clear framework to understand market dynamics and potential price movements.

GBPUSD

British Pound/ U.S. Dollar (GBP/USD) - Four-hour chart.

GBP/USD Elliott Wave technical analysis

  • Function: Bullish Trend.

  • Mode: Impulsive.

  • Structure: Gray Wave 3.

  • Position: Orange Wave 3.

  • Direction next higher degrees: Gray Wave 3 (Started).

  • Details: Gray Wave 2 of Orange Wave 3 appears completed; now, Gray Wave 3 is in progress.

  • Wave cancellation invalidation level: 1.20966.

Analysis overview

The GBPUSD Elliott Wave Analysis for the 4-hour chart examines the British Pound against the U.S. Dollar, indicating a bullish trend. The market is classified as impulsive, suggesting strong momentum in the current direction.

The structure is described as Gray Wave 3, which is part of a larger wave formation known as Orange Wave 3. This suggests that the market is experiencing a significant upward movement.

Wave progression and key levels

The analysis indicates that Gray Wave 2, which served as a corrective phase within Orange Wave 3, has likely completed. This completion signals the start of Gray Wave 3, which is expected to push the price further upward.

The next higher degree movement is confirmed as Gray Wave 3, reinforcing the bullish momentum in the near term.

A crucial level to monitor is the Wave Cancellation Invalidation Level at 1.20966. If the price drops below this threshold, the current wave count would be invalidated, potentially shifting the bullish outlook. Traders should keep a close watch on this level to confirm trend continuation.

Summary

The GBPUSD 4-Hour Chart Analysis suggests a bullish trend with strong impulsive momentum, currently in Gray Wave 3 of Orange Wave 3. The completion of Gray Wave 2 has set the stage for further upside movement.

The 1.20966 level serves as a critical invalidation point, determining whether the bullish trend remains valid. If Gray Wave 3 unfolds as expected, the price is likely to continue rising, reinforcing bullish sentiment in the market.

This analysis provides traders with a clear framework to understand market dynamics and future price movements.

gbpusd

GBP/USD Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Author

Peter Mathers

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

More from Peter Mathers
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD retreats toward 1.1700 on modest USD recovery

EUR/USD stays under mild bearish pressure and trades below 1.1750 on Friday. Although trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, the modest recovery seen in the US Dollar causes the pair to edge lower. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data releases.

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction, stabilizes near 1.3450

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades marginally lower on the day at around 1.3450 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold climbs toward $4,400 following deep correction

Gold advances toward $4,400 and gains more than 1.5% on the day after suffering heavy losses amid profit-taking heading into the end of the year. Growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy and persistent geopolitical risks seem to be helping XAU/USD stretch higher.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).