|

GBP/USD confirms bearish trend reversal

  • GBP/USD completes bearish head and shoulders pattern.

  • Bears approach May’s support at 1.3140 as oversold signals strengthen.

GBPUSD

GBP/USD raised alarms over a negative trend reversal after its slide below the 1.3360–1.3400 region confirmed a bearish head and shoulders pattern and cemented a bearish crossover between the 20- and 50-day simple moving averages (SMAs).

With the US dollar roaring back – bolstered by President Trump’s apparent success in recent trade deals and stronger-than-expected US economic data – the British pound succumbed to bearish pressure.

The pair’s six-day losing streak is now flirting with May’s low of 1.3140, where the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the 2025 uptrend is located. A move lower could open the door for an aggressive decline toward the 200-day SMA near 1.3000 and the 50% Fibonacci level at 1.2943. Further losses could target the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at 1.2743, if the 1.2870 barrier fails to hold.

Technically, the bearish cycle could soon take a breather as both the RSI and the stochastic oscillator hover in oversold territory. However, for a positive shift, the bulls would need to push the price back above the neckline at 1.3360–1.3500, reclaim the broken support trendline near 1.3500, and then print a new higher high above the key resistance zone at 1.3640.

In brief, GBP/USD has reversed to a bearish trajectory in the short-term picture, with sellers aiming for a new lower low near May’s floor of 1.3140. A drop below this level could trigger fresh selling pressure.

Author

Christina Parthenidou

Christina joined Trading Point in May 2017. She holds a master degree in Economics and Business from the Erasmus University Rotterdam with a specialization in International economics.

More from Christina Parthenidou
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD loses momentum, flirts with 1.3200

GBP/USD is struggling to maintain its positive bias on Thursday, retreating toward the 1.3200 region in response to the pick in the buying interest around the Greenback. That said, Cable remains under scrutiny as cautious market sentiment keeps investors focused on the US-Iran conflict and political effervescence in the UK.

EUR/USD trims gains, challenges 1.1400

EUR/USD now gives away part of its earlier advance, receding toward the 1.1400 contention zone on Thursday. Meanwhile, the pair’s recovery comes amid extra losses in the US Dollar, at the time when while investors continue to monitor developments in the Middle East and sentiment surrounding global technology stocks.

Gold remains bid and close to $4,100

Gold accelerates its recovery and approaches the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, adding to Thursday’s advance. However, expectations for a hawkish Fed remain steady and keep the yellow metal’s potential upside contained.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin at $60,000, Ethereum at $1,500, and XRP at $1 face a make-or-break test

Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) are trading in the red on Friday after three consecutive days of losses, testing their respective make-or-break support levels.

Week ahead – NFP report to challenge Dollar strength and the hawkish Fed

Dollar strength dominates markets, as the hawkish Fed overshadows geopolitics and lower oil prices. NFP week could drive September Fed hike expectations and boost market volatility. The euro lacks fresh bullish catalysts, all eyes on the preliminary inflation report and the ECB Forum.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.