|

GBP/USD analysis: May's Brexit strategy keeps capping the upside

GBP/USD Current price: 1.3266

  • UK data disappointed big, adding to concerns of the local economy.
  • UK politicians' resignations continue in protest against PM May´s softer Brexit strategy.

The GBP/USD pair extended its relief rally at the beginning of the day but was unable to hold on to gains, as UK data disappointed, while more politicians resigned in protest at PM May's softer-Brexit plan. UK Industrial Production fell 0.4% in May, against an expected 0.5%, while Manufacturing Production rose by just 0.4% vs. the 0.9% forecasted. The annual figures posted modest advances that fell short from market's expectations.  The Goods Trade Balance posted a wider-than-expected deficit of £12.36B in the same month, while the GBP growth estimate, a new figure that will be released monthly basis from now on, showed that the economy grew by 0.3% in the three-month to May. During the US session, two vice chairs of the Conservative Party, Maria Caulfield, and Ben Bradley, quitted, in protest to PM May's plan.

On Wednesday, the kingdom will release the NIESR GDP estimate for the three months to Jun, while BOE's Governor Carney is scheduled to speak about the global financial crisis at the National Bureau of Economic Research conference, in Boston.

The 4 hours chart for the pair presents a neutral to negative stance, as it met selling interest at around 1.3300, where the pair also has the 200 EMA, and now trades around a flat 20 SMA. In the same chart, technical indicators turned lower, but now lacking directional strength and within neutral levels. The pair has an immediate support around 1.3220, where it bottomed several times during the last few hours, with a break below it, increasing chances for a bearish extension this Wednesday.

Support levels: 1.3220 1.3190 1.3155

Resistance levels: 1.3285 1.3320 1.3365

View Live Chart for the GBP/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

USD/JPY eyes August swing low, near 155.20 ahead of US NFP

USD/JPY retests the August monthly swing low during the Asian session on Friday as a more hawkish repricing of BoJ rate-hike bets and a suspected intervention continue to underpin the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar is seen consolidating the previous day's heavy losses amid soft US bond yields, further weighing on the currency pair as traders keenly await the US NFP report.

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7200; US NFP awaited

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7200, near its highest level since mid-May, as bulls await the US NFP report for more cues on the Fed's policy path before placing fresh bets. Meanwhile, the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near its lowest level in over a week and acts as a tailwind for the Aussie amid the RBA's hawkish tilt.

Gold tumbles as blockbuster US NFP lift US Dollar, Treasury yields

Gold (XAU/USD) falls sharply on Friday, snapping a two-day recovery after the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report surprised strongly to the upside. The metal briefly climbed above $4,500 on Thursday, gaining nearly 2%, but has since erased a large part of that advance.

Crypto’s $638 million buyback boom may not be as bullish as it looks
Decentralized Finance (DeFi) protocols reportedly spent $638 million to buy back their native tokens in August, up 17% from a year earlier. On the surface, the buyback trend suggests the cryptocurrency industry is maturing fast, adopting one of Wall Street’s oldest tools to bolster valuations and distribute revenue. The headline becomes less impressive once the number is opened up.
Why hawkish Bank of Japan expectations aren't enough to sustain the Japanese Yen rally

The Japanese Yen (JPY) experienced a sudden burst higher after falling back below the 160.00 psychological mark against the US Dollar (USD) earlier this week amid a more hawkish repricing of Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike expectations.

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.