|

GBP/USD analysis: contradictory Brexit headlines trigger wild Pound volatility

GBP/USD Current price: 1.2905

  • Brexit headlines kept coming, but at this point, seems nobody wants a hard departure.
  • Germany didn't change its Brexit stance, fully trust on Barnier's decisions.

Volatility around the GBP/USD pair was huge amid contradictory Brexit headlines. The pair fell to 1.2784 at the beginning of the day as risk aversion dominated the financial boards, with the Pound recovering on a positive surprise coming from the UK Markit Services PMI, which resulted in August at 54.3, beating expectations of 53.9 and above the previous 53.5. The pair soared to 1.2982 on news indicating that the UK and Germany would ease Brexit demands to facilitate an agreement, with details about trade to be discussed in the future.  However, Reuters later reported that a spokesman for the German government said that the position of Berlin has not changed on Brexit and that Germany has the full trust in Chief European Union Negotiator Michel Barnier. The news sent the pair over 100 pips lower, although a key Fibonacci support contained the decline, as it managed to hold above the 61.8% retracement of the 2016/18 rally. Uncertainty about Brexit remains high, but at this point, seems nobody wants a hard departure. There is no relevant data scheduled in the UK for this Thursday. The 4 hours chart shows that the pair failed to sustain gains beyond its 200 EMA, but trades above a bearish 20 SMA that converges with the mentioned Fibonacci support. Technical indicators in the mentioned chart entered positive ground but lost upward strength, indicating decreasing buying interest. The risk toward the downside will increase on a clear break below the mentioned 1.2890 support.

Support levels: 1.2890 1.2845 1.2800  

Resistance levels: 1.2930 1.2980 1.3010

View Live Chart for the GBP/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD holds above 0.7000 as Fed and RBA, inflation tests loom

The Australian Dollar consolidates for the fourth straight day versus the US Dollar, yet registers modest gains of 0.11%, as price action shifts to choppy ahead of the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decision. A busy US economic docket barely moved the markets, while traders eye the release of Australia’s Consumer Price Index.

USD/JPY sticks to modest gains above 157.50 as traders await Fed, BoJ meetings

USD/JPY attracts buyers for the third straight day, recovering further from a one-month low ahead of Wednesday’s FOMC decision and the BoJ policy update on Friday. Meanwhile, expectations that the BoJ may hold off on aggressive rate hikes weigh on the Japanese Yen, and the US Dollar advances to a nearly two-week high, supporting the currency pair.

Gold rises above $4,050 ahead of Fed rate decision

Gold price jumps to around $4,065 during the early Asian session on Wednesday, bolstered by lower oil prices. Traders await the Federal Reserve's policy meeting later on Wednesday for signals on ‌the future path of US interest rates.



Ethereum ETFs near record monthly outflows as ETH tests $2,310
Ethereum (ETH) held steady on Tuesday, consolidating at $2,340, just above $2,300 after last week’s decline. Three measures sit within about $18 of each other: ETH’s realized price at $2,310, the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2,315, and the $2,328 average cost basis of wallets holding 1K-10K ETH.
What can we expect from the RBNZ monetary policy decision?

On Wednesday, October 28 at 01:00 GMT, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, led by Governor Anna Breman, is expected to raise the Overnight Cash Rate by 25 basis points, from 2.75% to 3%, as money markets price in a 100% chance. This would be the third-rate hike by the RBNZ, while the odds for another hike in December are nearly 50%.

Anthropic pledged $270 billion to Amazon, Google, and Microsoft. Here's who actually gets paid
Anthropic owes Amazon, Google, and Microsoft at least $269.4 billion for computing power, even if it uses less. All three sell its models and handle its billing, and Amazon and Google own stakes and lend it money, so they get paid regardless of how the IPO goes. The Dario Amodei-led Anthropic filed its initial public offering (IPO) on Monday, seeking a listing on the Nasdaq under the ticker ANT.