|

GBP/USD analysis: Brexit optimism overshadows it all

GBP/USD Current price: 1.3135

  • Mixed Brexit headers having a lesser effect on Pound prices.
  • Despite meetings continue and no Irish border solution has been reached, market players are betting on a deal.

The Sterling Pound continues being the best performer, rallying against the greenback to 1.3174, its highest level in three weeks amid the sell-off around the latest following the US mid-term elections' result. Brexit-related headlines kept coming, but the Irish border issue remains unsolved. Cabinet meetings are taking place almost daily in the UK, with a draft agreement that doesn’t include an Irish backstop plan, now on the table. It's yet to be signed by local authorities, not to mention, submitted to the EU. The kingdom's macroeconomic calendar has nothing to offer this Thursday.

Meanwhile, the Pound remains supported by hopes that a last a minute deal will be achieved, also by broad dollar's weakness. The pair retreated from the mentioned high but holds well above the 1.3100 figure, maintaining a positive technical stance. In the 4 hours chart, the pair settled well above a bullish 20 SMA, which extended its advance beyond the 200 EMA, this last some 150 pips below the current level. Technical indicators have corrected from extreme readings, but lost downward strength, now consolidating in overbought territory. The pair has multiple intraday highs and lows in the 1.3190 price zone, with a break above it opening the doors for a retest of the October high at 1.3257.

Support levels: 1.3040 1.3000 1.2970    

Resistance levels:  1.3105 1.3150 1.3185

View Live Chart for the GBP/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: US Dollar to remain pressured until uncertainty fog dissipates

Unimpressive European Central Bank left monetary policy unchanged for the fifth consecutive meeting. The United States first-tier employment and inflation data is scheduled for the second week of February. EUR/USD battles to remain afloat above 1.1800, sellers moving to the sidelines.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold: Volatility persists in commodity space

After losing more than 8% to end the previous week, Gold remained under heavy selling pressure on Monday and dropped toward $4,400. Although XAU/USD staged a decisive rebound afterward, it failed to stabilize above $5,000. The US economic calendar will feature Nonfarm Payrolls and Consumer Price Index data for January, which could influence the market pricing of the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook and impact Gold’s performance.

Week ahead: US NFP and CPI data to shake Fed cut bets, Japan election looms

US NFP and CPI data awaited after Warsh’s nomination as Fed chief. Yen traders lock gaze on Sunday’s snap election. UK and Eurozone Q4 GDP data also on the agenda. China CPI and PPI could reveal more weakness in domestic demand.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.