|

GBP/JPY Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

GBP/JPY Elliott Wave technical analysis

Function: Counter Trend.

Mode: Corrective.

Structure: Navy blue wave Y.

Position: Gray wave 2.

Direction next higher degrees: Gray wave 3.

Details: Navy blue wave X appears complete, and orange wave Y of 2 is currently unfolding.

Wave cancel invalid level: 195.998.

The GBPJPY Elliott Wave Analysis on the daily chart outlines a well-defined counter-trend scenario for the currency pair, currently in a corrective phase within a broader pattern. The focus is on navy blue wave Y, which forms part of the larger gray wave 2. Analysts confirm that the corrective move of navy blue wave X is complete, and the market is now developing orange wave Y of gray wave 2. This implies a short-term interruption in the overall trend before a potential directional continuation.

This daily chart view helps traders understand the pair's placement within the broader wave structure, with navy blue wave Y progressing inside gray wave 2. A key technical level, 195.998, serves as the invalidation point—if price breaches this, the current wave outlook would be reconsidered. This reference level is essential for validating the unfolding corrective structure.

This analysis highlights the importance of wave degree interaction, positioning navy blue wave Y as both a medium-term trading event and a component of gray wave 2. Traders should look for signs of typical corrective behavior, such as three-wave formations or sideways consolidation—common in counter-trend phases. The chart suggests waiting for confirmation of pattern completion before acting on the next likely move in GBPJPY. This setup offers valuable insight for both short-term strategies and broader market positioning.

GBP/JPY Elliott Wave technical analysis

Function: Counter Trend.

Mode: Impulsive as A.

Structure: Orange wave A.

Position: Navy Blue Wave Y.

Direction next higher degrees: Orange wave B.

Details: Navy blue wave X appears complete, with orange wave A of Y now underway.

Wave cancel invalid level: 195.998.

The GBPJPY Elliott Wave Analysis on the 4-hour chart offers a counter-trend view, highlighting a notable corrective structure in development. The current focus is on orange wave A, part of the broader navy blue wave Y. Market analysts note the completion of navy blue wave X, with the pair now entering an impulsive orange wave A of Y. This marks the beginning of a potentially meaningful counter-trend phase for GBPJPY.

A key level to watch is 195.998, the invalidation point that, if broken, would challenge this wave outlook. The 4-hour chart grants traders precise visibility into the evolving impulsive structure, while also placing it within the larger corrective pattern. The impulsive nature of wave A within a corrective setup is consistent with typical wave dynamics and indicates initial strength in this move.

This framework underscores the relevance of wave degree relationships, as orange wave A represents both a near-term trading setup and a part of the larger navy blue wave Y. Traders should monitor for impulsive traits, such as strong directional momentum—often seen in early corrective moves. The current setup encourages careful assessment of both short-term trades and broader strategic positioning in GBPJPY, particularly with respect to the invalidation level.

Technical Analyst: Malik Awais.

GBP/JPY Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Author

Peter Mathers

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

More from Peter Mathers
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).