|

Further harm due the US budget issue?

Important news for the day

  • Fri, 14th, 08:00 CET        UK        Gross domestic product.
  • Fri, 14th, 15:00 CET        US        Prelim. consumer sentiment.

US shutdown

A potential shutdown in the US might still happen. Democrats stated that they would not agree to the US budget and hence the situation might remain tense. Yet, the leader of the Democrats, Chuck Schumer, pointed out that a shutdown would only help to support Donald Trump and furthermore harm American families. The new budget needs to be adopted by the Senate, where Republicans in general have a majority but still need some votes of the Democratic party. The Dollar might hence continue facing a volatile time for now.

Market talk

Yesterday ended with the continuation of bearish market sentiment. The S&P 500 index went lower and crossed the support zone based on the weekly chart, without a correction in the making for now. Yet, the German DAX seems trading strongly higher. All recent slight corrections have ended in a dip, where investors went back in causing the market to rise again. The current development on the monthly chart might suggest that caution should be applied. If the general trend in markets remains shaky, downside could be seen here as well. Similarly the crypto space shows a mixed picture. While BTC and XRP hold steady for the week, other tokens have continued their slide seemingly following the US tech market.

Tendencies in the markets

  • Equities sideways, USD weak, cryptos weak, oil positive, Silver positive, Gold strong, JPY weak.

Author

Frank Walbaum

Frank Walbaum

FX Strategies.Asia

Frank has been working in the TV business for several years. Acquiring his skills in Germany’s biggest broadcasting station, he then chose to work and live in Asia, which was in 2007.

More from Frank Walbaum
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD softens below 1.1750 after Fed Minutes

The EUR/USD pair attracts some sellers near 1.1745 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The US Dollar edges higher against the Euro after the release of minutes from the Federal Reserve's December meeting. The US Initial Jobless Claims report will be released later in the day. Trading volumes are expected to remain thin ahead of the New Year holidays.

GBP/USD trades flat above 1.3450 amid thin trading volume

The GBP/USD pair holds steady around 1.3465 during the early Asian trading hours on Wednesday. However, the Bank of England guided that monetary policy will remain on a gradual downward path, which might underpin the Cable against the US Dollar. Financial markets are expected to trade on thin volumes as traders prepare for the New Year holiday.

Gold attempts another run toward $4,400 on final day of 2025

Gold price makes another attempt toward $4,400 in Asian trading on Tuesday, keeping the recovery mode intact following Monday's over 4% correction. The bright metal seems to cheer upbeat Chinese NBS and RatingDog Manufacturing and Services PMI data for December. 

Top Crypto Gainers: Canton, Four, Plasma rally secures double-digit gains

Canton, Four, and Plasma are the top-performing crypto assets over the last 24 hours with double-digit gains. The extended recovery in Canton is gaining traction while Four and Plasma target a decisive close above the 200-period Exponential Moving Average on the 4-hour chart.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).