|

FTSE100 and DAX rally – Will we finally see some JPY strength next week? [Video]

In today’s Market Outlook, let’s take a look at Forex Trading on USD/JPY, GBP/JPY, NZD/JPY, WTI, Brent Crude Oil, the S&P500, the FTSE100, and the DAX40.

In our last video we spotted potential reversals in fortune for both the German DAX40 and the UK’s FTSE100 and look at what happened to both.

Youtube preview

On the FTSE100 4-hour chart we are seeing bullish price action, bullish confluence in the stochastic oscillator, and MACD heading into bullish territory.

We are seeing the exact same situation on the DAX as well.

Regarding the major US indices, remember that this is the Thanksgiving holiday extra long weekend so not much is going to happen until the Monday New York opening.

This chart on the S&P500 illustrates my point.

Unless, of course, we see some more crazy fundamental events out of Washington over the weekend…we never know, do we?

Looking at the Crude Oil markets, Brent and WTI are still heading lower and we wonder if price action might be forming a symmetrical pennant.

Price action is heading back to the upper trend line but be aware of this Sunday’s OPEC meeting.

Analysts are thinking that they make pause making any changes in oil production to try to stabilise the market into 2026 but we never know until the time.

We are seeing some consolidation in JPY pairs ahead of Monday’s Bank of Japan statement.

Inflation in Japan is still higher than 2% so there may be a hawkish tone to indicate Interest Rate increases which could finally inject some strength into the yen.

Technically, we see USDJPY at over 156 yen and price action has faithfully followed higher lows into a symmetrical pennant.

We see consolidation in the stochastic oscillator as well.

On GBPJPY, we have to look at the weekly chart to see prices over 206 yen back in June so, are we anticipating a reversal?

We hadn’t seen JPY this weak against GBP since 2008.

Another candidate for a reversal may be NZDJPY which has just seen a surge thanks to the New Zealand Interest rate decision we looked at in the last video.

Keep in mind that the fundamentals will likely drive the next moves but we will also watch the technicals like the stochastic oscillator and MACD.

Author

Brad Alexander

Brad Alexander

FX Large Limited

Brad became fascinated with the Currency Markets from a young age and researched fundamental analysis.

More from Brad Alexander
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.