EUR/USD, “Euro vs US Dollar”
The EURUSD pair has performed a wave of decline to 1.0803. Today, the market is forming a consolidation range above this level, potentially further declining towards 1.0801. A subsequent correction towards 1.0830 is probable, followed by a potential decline to 1.0777, serving as a local target.
GBP/USD, “Great Britain Pound vs US Dollar”
The GBPUSD pair broke through 1.2702 and continues its decline towards 1.2678. After reaching this level, a rise towards 1.2702 (testing from below) is possible, followed by a potential decline to 1.2660, serving as a local target. Following this, a correction towards 1.2702 could be considered.
USD/JPY, “US Dollar vs Japanese Yen”
The USDJPY pair found support at 156.52 and may rise towards 157.26. Following this, the price may decline to 156.19, with a breakout below this level opening the potential for a wave towards 155.15, serving as the first target.
USD/CHF, “US Dollar vs Swiss Franc”
The USDCHF pair continues to develop a consolidation range above 0.9133. Today, a rise towards 0.9176 is expected, potentially extending to 0.9188. Following this, a correction towards 0.9090 could be considered.
AUD/USD, “Australian Dollar vs US Dollar”
The AUDUSD pair is undergoing a downward wave towards 0.6580. After reaching this level, a correction towards 0.6616 (testing from below) is possible. Subsequently, the price may decline to 0.6554, serving as a local target.
Brent
Brent oil continues to develop a correction, with the local target at 80.72 already reached. Today, a rise towards 82.00 is probable, followed by another correction towards 79.79. Subsequently, a new growth wave towards 84.10 is expected, serving as the first target.
XAU/USD, “Gold vs US Dollar”
Gold has performed a wave of decline to 2326.46. Today, the market is forming a consolidation range above this level. An upward breakout could initiate a correction towards 2384.80 (testing from below). Subsequently, the price may decline to 2319.50, serving as the first target of the decline wave.
S&P 500
After rebounding from 5351.1, the S&P 500 index has commenced a downward wave towards 5231.1. After reaching this level, a correction towards 5290.5 (testing from below) is possible, followed by a new decline wave towards 5200.0.
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Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD looks consolidative near 1.1580
Following an early push past the 1.1600 barrier, EUR/USD now seems to have embarked on a consolidative phase around the 1.1580 zone as the NA session draws to a close on Monday. The daily uptick in spot follows the bearish start to the week in the US Dollar amid softer regional data releases, a the wide-spread risk-on mood, and mitigating geopolitical tensions.
GBP/USD remains well bid near 1.3600
GBP/USD now attempts to consolidate its promising start to the week, hovering around the key 1.3600 zone and following the broad-based upbeat tone in the risk complex. Cable's positive price action comes in tandem with fresh selling pressure on the Greenback and easing fears on the Middle East front.
Gold slips back to daily lows, looks at $3,380
Gold keeps its offered stance on Monday, and is now drifting lower to the area of daily troughs around $3,380 per troy ounce against the backdrop of persistent risk-on sentiment and shrinking effervescence in the Middle East. Furthermore, the tepid bounce in US yields across the board also contributes to the decline in the precious metal.
Seven fundamentals for the week: Iran-Israel war, Fed to fire up tariff-troubled markets Premium
When will the Fed cut interest rates? That question competes with the Israel-Iran war and the fate of the tariffs America slaps on its peers. US retail sales and interest rate decisions in Japan and the UK keep things lively as well.
Chinese data suggests economy on track to hit 2025 growth target
China's May data was mixed with strong retail sales, but soft readings on fixed-asset investment and property price. Overall, though, data suggests that China remains on track to achieve its growth target in the first half of 2025.
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