The euro is consolidating around new levels relative to the US dollar.
The common currency remains solidly above the $1.11 level, but the resilience to tariff trouble apparent in US economic data and Trump's retreat on tariffs are preventing a breakout to higher levels for now, and it is unlikely that the news of Moody's downgrade of the US rating will be enough to bring that about in the near term.
In addition to the business activity PMIs for May, which will be released on Thursday, the minutes for the last European Central Bank meeting will be out on the same day.
We will also be keeping tabs on speeches from a number of Governing Council members in the coming days, including Cipollone, Lane and Schnabel.
Market bets in favour of Euro Area rate cuts have receded since the news of the US-China trade deal, and it will be interesting to see whether easing growth fears are reflected in a slightly less dovish ECB.
The information contained in this document was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Any opinions expressed herein are in good faith, but are subject to change without notice. No liability accepted whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from the use of this document.
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