EURCHF: Breaking downtrend channel

Yann Quelenn Swissquote Bank Ltd

EUR/JPY

Bullish breakout.

EUR/JPY has surged and broke hourly resistance at 125.82 (16/05/2017 high). Hourly support is given at 122.56 (18/05/2017 low). Major support is given at 114.90 (18/04/2017 low).
In the longer term, the technical structure validates a medium-term succession of lower highs and lower lows. As a result, the resistance at 149.78 (08/12/2014 high) has likely marked the end of the rise that started in July 2012. Strong support at 94.12 (24/07/2012 low) looks nonetheless far away.

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EUR/GBP

Bullish.

EUR/GBP has finally broken resistance given at 0.8866 (12/06/2017 high). Other support can be found at 0.8652 (08/06/2017 low). Expected to show further consolidation.
In the long-term, the pair has largely recovered from recent lows in 2015. The technical structure suggests a growing upside momentum. The pair is trading above from its 200 DMA. Strong resistance can be found at 0.9500 psychological level.

EUR/CHF

Breaking downtrend channel.

EUR/CHF's short-term bullish pressures are definitely on. The pair is riding higher within downtrend channel. Hourly support is located at a distance at 1.0792 (03/05/2017 low).
In the longer term, the technical structure is mixed. Resistance can be found at 1.1200 (04/02/2015 high). Yet,the ECB's QE programme is likely to cause persistent selling pressures on the euro, which should weigh on EUR/CHF. Supports can be found at 1.0184 (28/01/2015 low) and 1.0082 (27/01/2015 low).

Author

Yann Quelenn

Swissquote Bank Ltd

Yann Quelenn is a Market Analyst at Swissquote Bank with strong technical and financial background. Previously, he worked as FX Trader at Banque Privée Edmond de Rothschild and as Portfolio Manager at Polaris Investment in Luxembourg.

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