|

EUR/USD path of least resistance remains up as it looks for a new direction – Confluence Detector

The EUR/USD has erased its recovery and settled at the somewhat lower ground amid growing trade tensions. Where is it heading next?

The Technical Confluences Indicator shows that the pair is battling the 1.1722 - 1.1734 area where it is hugged by a congestion of many levels. These include the Simple Moving Average 5-one-day, the Fibonacci 38.2% one-day, the Fibonacci 61.8%, the Bolinger Band 15m-Lower, the Fibonacci 23.6% one-week, the SMA 515m, and the SMA 5-4h.

Should the pair give in to pressure and fall, the next substantial confluence of support is at 1.1704 which is the confluence of the Fibonacci 38.2% one-week, the Pivot Point one-day Support 1, and the Bolinger Band 1h-Lower. 

Below, 1.1661 may provide support as it is the meeting point of the Fibonacci 61.8% one-week and the Pivot Point one-day Support 2. Yet a firm cushion is only at 1.1594 which is where the Fibonacci 23.6% one-month and the one-week low converge. 

On the topside, 1.1807 is the first target with the convergence of the Fibonacci 161.8% one-day, the Pivot Point one-week Resistance 1 and the Pivot Point one-day Resistance 2. 

Even higher, 1.1860 remains a target as the meeting point between the Pivot Point one-month Resistance 1 and the one-month high.

Here is how it looks on the tool:

EUR USD technical confluence July 11 2018

Confluence Detector

The Confluence Detector finds exciting opportunities using Technical Confluences. The TC is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

This tool assigns a certain amount of “weight” to each indicator, and this “weight” can influence adjacents price levels. These weightings mean that one price level without any indicator or moving average but under the influence of two “strongly weighted” levels accumulate more resistance than their neighbors. In these cases, the tool signals resistance in apparently empty areas.

Learn more about Technical Confluence

Author

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

FXStreet

Yohay is in Forex since 2008 when he founded Forex Crunch, a blog crafted in his free time that turned into a fully-fledged currency website later sold to Finixio.

More from Yohay Elam
Share:

Editor's Picks

USD/JPY eyes August swing low, near 155.20 ahead of US NFP

USD/JPY retests the August monthly swing low during the Asian session on Friday as a more hawkish repricing of BoJ rate-hike bets and a suspected intervention continue to underpin the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar is seen consolidating the previous day's heavy losses amid soft US bond yields, further weighing on the currency pair as traders keenly await the US NFP report.

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7200; US NFP awaited

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7200, near its highest level since mid-May, as bulls await the US NFP report for more cues on the Fed's policy path before placing fresh bets. Meanwhile, the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near its lowest level in over a week and acts as a tailwind for the Aussie amid the RBA's hawkish tilt.

Gold tumbles as blockbuster US NFP lift US Dollar, Treasury yields

Gold (XAU/USD) falls sharply on Friday, snapping a two-day recovery after the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report surprised strongly to the upside. The metal briefly climbed above $4,500 on Thursday, gaining nearly 2%, but has since erased a large part of that advance.

Crypto’s $638 million buyback boom may not be as bullish as it looks
Decentralized Finance (DeFi) protocols reportedly spent $638 million to buy back their native tokens in August, up 17% from a year earlier. On the surface, the buyback trend suggests the cryptocurrency industry is maturing fast, adopting one of Wall Street’s oldest tools to bolster valuations and distribute revenue. The headline becomes less impressive once the number is opened up.
Why hawkish Bank of Japan expectations aren't enough to sustain the Japanese Yen rally

The Japanese Yen (JPY) experienced a sudden burst higher after falling back below the 160.00 psychological mark against the US Dollar (USD) earlier this week amid a more hawkish repricing of Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike expectations.

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.

EUR/USD path of least resistance remains up as it looks for a new direction – Confluence Detector